1、 Price trend
According to the price monitoring of the business agency, the domestic polymerized MDI market is high and firm. As of May 13, the average price of the domestic aggregate MDI market is 12500 yuan / ton, 13.12% higher than the same period last month, 26.47% lower than the same period last year.
| PVA 1799 (PVA BF17) |
2、 Market analysis
Product: the market of aggregate MDI is strong, and the market price is strong. The information from the suppliers on the site is more favorable, and the market continues to be strong. The main manufacturers are in short supply, the agent shipping pressure is not big, the price is high, negotiate shipping. On the demand side, with the government’s support policies, the real estate market has recovered, and the epidemic situation has promoted the growth of consumer terminal demand for environmental protection and disinfection. Accordingly, the kitchen and electricity enterprises have launched the development strategy of set sales, with obvious advantages and good overall demand.
Industrial chain: raw materials, pure benzene: local downstream enterprises in Shandong purchase on demand, and the demand side support is acceptable. East China’s pure benzene market is generally negotiated, but there is no pressure on the inventory of the local pure benzene plant. Shandong’s market is stable, and the mainstream price is 3400-3600 yuan / ton.
| PVA 1788 (PVA BP17) |
Aniline: at present, Shandong aniline factory is mainly shipping and destocking, while the sales volume outside the factory in East China is increasing, and the market is on the lookout. Pay attention to the subsequent bidding of Jinling pure benzene. The main stream of Shandong market is 4600 yuan / ton spot exchange and 4690 yuan / ton acceptance. For East China market, RMB 4600-4800 / ton is accepted.
3、 Future forecast
Business point of view: the inquiry mood of downstream customers in the distribution market slightly changed, compared with the increase of inquiry before the festival. However, restricted by abundant inventory, small order purchase is the main thing. MDI analysts predict that the short-term domestic market price of MDI will be stable and wait for the change of market turnover.
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