Stable operation of dichloromethane Market

Market Overview:

 

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According to the bulk data monitoring of the business agency, the dichloromethane market in Shandong Province has been running steadily after a short rise. At present, the average price of dichloromethane in Shandong Province is about 2570 yuan / ton.

 

Market analysis:

 

Product: at present, the dichloromethane market is in stable operation as a whole, and the inventory pressure is not large. Affected by the price rise of methanol and liquid chlorine before, the dichloromethane continues to rise slightly. Near the Spring Festival, the downstream market has entered the holiday one after another, with poor terminal demand and cold market trading. At present, the quotation in Shandong is about 2570 yuan / ton; in East China is about 2700-2800 yuan / ton; in Jiangxi, Liwen is about 3150 yuan / ton.

 

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Industry chain: in the upstream, the natural gas market is rising tentatively, and the actual transaction situation is flat. At present, it is about 3090 yuan / ton; in the methanol market, the methanol price is high and firm, and each region adjusts the price according to its own supply and demand and the downstream stocking rhythm, at present, it is about 2262 yuan / ton; in the liquid chlorine market, the supply is tight, and the enterprise has a strong attitude of pricing, and the transaction is flat, at present, it is about 300-500 yuan / ton. In the downstream, the domestic refrigerant market is in weak and stable operation, and the market is basically closed before the festival, so there is little room for price adjustment; the pharmaceutical and agricultural market and solvent industry just need to be flat, and the price of chloroform is generally supported.

 

Future forecast:

 

According to the data analyst of methane chloride of business association, the trade and investment in the industry are soft near the Spring Festival holiday, and the market performance is relatively cold due to the Limited Logistics and transportation, which is expected to be stable and volatile in the short term.

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On January 20, China’s domestic n-propanol market was stable, and the latter was mainly stable

1、 Price trend

According to the data monitoring of the business agency, the market of n-propanol was weak and stable as of January 20, and the average comprehensive quotation of the sample enterprises was basically the same as that of last Monday (January 13). On January 20, the n-propanol commodity index was 91.32, unchanged from yesterday, down 9.79% from 101.23 (2013-12-12), the highest point in the cycle, and up 15.81% from 78.85, the lowest point on November 5, 2015. (Note: cycle refers to 2013-12-01 to now).

 

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2、 Market analysis

 

Product: at present, the domestic n-propanol market is stable. From January 5 of the beginning of the month, the monitoring data shows that the domestic n-propanol market has been stable since the comprehensive average price of the market was increased by 200 yuan / ton. The market fluctuation is not big, the trading and investment are flat, the supply-demand relationship is still in a relatively balanced state, and the market is mostly stable near the Spring Festival. On January 20, the apron in Nanjing area was around 8500-8900 yuan / ton. Dealers of imported n-propanol offer different prices at 10500-12000 yuan / ton (including tax in barrels). Zhangjiagang Free Trade Zone xiangcang Trading Co., Ltd. offers 10500 yuan / ton of n-propanol to the outside (barreled / Dalian, Taiwan); domestic Nanjing Rongxin Chemical Co., Ltd. has normal start-up of n-propanol production plant, and offers 8500 yuan / ton to the outside (bulk water).

 

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Industry chain: the market of propylene oxide has been running steadily since the average price of propylene oxide fell by 200 yuan / ton on the 13th. The demand in the downstream is weakened, and the high-end shipment is blocked. The main factories reduce the quotation and actively ship. The enthusiasm of the downstream polyether users to make up for the low price and stock up is slightly improved. The inventory of propylene oxide manufacturers is low, and the transaction is stable. On the 20th, the cash delivery price in Shandong mainstream market of Wanhua chemical was 9750 yuan / ton. At present, the mainstream price of propylene oxide Market in East China is around 9750-9850 yuan / ton, that in Shandong is around 9450-9600 yuan / ton, and that in South China is around 9600-9700 yuan / ton.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

According to the prediction of the business agency: it is expected that the domestic price of n-propanol will continue to stabilize temporarily after the festival, and there may be a slight increase in some areas. Pay attention to the cost of raw materials and supply of goods.

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Polysilicon market held steady this week, and price is stable and supply decrease before and after the Spring Festival (1.13-19)

1、 Price trend

 

According to the data in the business club’s bulk list, the trend of polysilicon in China this week (1.13-19) has not changed much compared with last week. After the market stopped falling, it did not usher in an increase. At present, the deadlock is mainly stable, and the purchase volume in the downstream before the Festival did not increase, mainly for the temporary Spring Festival. Before that, most of the enterprises have signed the bill. At present, there is no market and the supply pressure has eased slightly. As of January 19, according to the business The overall rise and fall of domestic polysilicon solar grade cycle is 0% as monitored by CCS, and the average price quoted by enterprises is 52000-56000 yuan / ton. The current price is about 20% lower than last year. At present, the domestic single crystal is still stable, and the price range of compact material is 680-700 million yuan / ton, and the price difference of single polycrystal is not much different from that of last week.

 

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2、 Market analysis

 

From the perspective of market supply and demand, the supply pressure is OK. This week, 12 polysilicon production enterprises are operating normally, with partial load reduction. According to the production plan of each enterprise, at present, the enterprise inventory control is effective, and there is no huge social inventory pressure. In addition, the two enterprises in South Korea shut down production for maintenance in January and February, and the domestic import volume will be reduced accordingly, which also slowed down the domestic supply pressure to some extent. From the comparison of monocrystal and polycrystal, the performance of monocrystal silicon is slightly better than polycrystal silicon, which occupies part of the demand of polycrystal silicon. The growth of monocrystal production is still continuing, and the demand is increasing. According to the situation of manufacturers, in polysilicon enterprises, after the order signing year, the market purchase volume has increased slightly. Although the price remains low, the order has increased significantly. On the other hand, the single crystal inventory of silicon material enterprises has been consumed during the low price period of the market in the past few weeks, so there is no more supply pressure, so the price of single crystal has not been shaken, the downward pressure of polysilicon has also been eased, and the market is rigid and stable.

 

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Let’s take a look at the demand situation: since 2020, polysilicon demand has remained rigid and stable, and the price has stopped falling and stabilized. Before the festival, most of the downstream orders have been placed in advance, and most of the orders have been signed in February. The transaction price of some enterprises shows slight signs of recovery. On the one hand, because the downstream demand is rigid, the purchasing base gas at the end of the lunar calendar year, and the polysilicon operation rate has increased to 100%, which also confirms the downstream The demand is getting better, but it can’t be entirely optimistic. This is inseparable from the Spring Festival procurement peak. After the completion of the downstream stock up, the possibility of enterprises gradually accumulating the stock is not ruled out.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

In the future, business analysts believe that the improvement of demand is the main reason for polysilicon market to stop falling and stabilize. From the current high operating rate of enterprises, enterprise inventory pressure is still under control, which also confirms the relative rigidity of market demand. However, there are also some variables in the mid-term of the supply side. Most of the enterprises start work at full load, which does not exclude the possibility that the inventory will return to a high level again after the festival, and the demand released in advance will be superimposed. After the Spring Festival, the demand may be discounted, and the market procurement may be reduced. Therefore, it does not exclude that the market will enter a new inventory removal cycle, and the price may be repeated.

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Price trend of fluorite in China is stable (1.13-1.17)

1、 Market Overview

 

According to statistics, the price trend of domestic fluorite market is stable this week, with the weekend price of 2894.44 yuan / ton, which is the same as the price of 2894.44 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week, with a year-on-year decline of 20.34%. Fluorite prices are mainly volatile in the near future.

 

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2、 Market analysis

 

Product: the price trend of fluorite in China this week has been fluctuating. Recently, the supply of fluorite in China has decreased. However, the demand for fluorite in the downstream hydrofluoric acid and refrigerant industries has not improved significantly. The price of fluorite has been fluctuating with little change. The price of fluorite in the market is generally the same. The manufacturers and downstream companies are going to have holidays gradually near the Spring Festival. The price trend of fluorite in the market is stable. By the end of the week, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Inner Mongolia was 2700-3000 yuan / ton, that of 97 fluorite wet powder in Fujian was 2800-3000 yuan / ton, that of 97 fluorite wet powder in Henan was 2800-3100 yuan / ton, that of 97 fluorite wet powder in Jiangxi was 2800-3000 yuan / ton, and the price trend of fluorite was stable temporarily.

 

Industry chain: the market price of hydrofluoric acid in the downstream of fluorite is stable this week. As of the end of the week, the ex factory price of hydrofluoric acid is 10240 yuan / ton. The price trend of hydrofluoric acid in the downstream is stable this week. The stability of the market price of hydrofluoric acid in the downstream is a good factor in the fluorite market, and the market price of fluorite in China remains volatile. In the near future, the trading trend of the downstream refrigerant market of the terminal is stable, mainly because the quota of enterprises at the end of the year is limited, the supply is tight, and the market is out of stock, most manufacturers do not accept new orders basically, and the orders before the main supply, the price is high and stable. The transaction price of bulk water market of traders is chaotic, and the supply of goods in their hands is tight. The terminal’s demand for refrigerant R22 has not been improved, and the main price of domestic large enterprises is 15500-18500 yuan / ton. The price trend of domestic R134a market remains high, and the unit operating rate of production enterprises remains low. At present, the air conditioning industry has entered the cycle of goods preparation, and the demand for R134a has slightly improved. At present, the supply of R134a in the market is a little tight, and the price trend remains high, the downstream is still on-demand procurement, and the price trend of fluorite market is mainly stable.

 

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Industry: this week, the fluorite industry started to operate generally, and the price trend of hydrofluoric acid did not change much. The spot supply of fluorite products was normal, and the market price of fluorite remained volatile.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

In the future, in the near future, the domestic fluorite manufacturers have generally started their installations, and the market price of downstream hydrofluoric acid industry has remained stable. In addition, the market price of downstream refrigeration industry has not changed much. Chen Ling, an analyst of fluorite in the business agency, thinks that the price of fluorite may remain stable in the later stage, or about 2900 yuan / ton.

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Copper price rose 0.08% on January 15

1、 Trend analysis

 

As shown in the figure above, today’s domestic copper price rose slightly, with a quotation of 49033.33 yuan / ton, 0.08% higher than the previous day, up 4.21% year on year. Shanghai copper’s main contract fell 0.10% to a low of 49180 yuan at 49260 yuan today.

 

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2、 Market analysis

 

In the near future, copper has maintained a narrow range of shock trend. The supply of raw materials is tight, Codelco may not renew the agreement of supplying copper concentrate to a smelter in Shandong Province in 2020, which causes the market’s concern about the supply of refined copper. There are too many fundamentals in the copper market, and the support under the copper price remains.

 

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3、 Future prospects

 

According to the above situation, copper analysts of nonferrous branch of business agency think that: near the Spring Festival, processing enterprises are gradually on holiday, trading enterprises are clearing inventory and settling accounts, and the transaction is increasingly weak. The comments of the US Treasury secretary made the market cautious about the trade prospect between China and the US, and the copper price was blocked in the upward direction. However, the fundamentals are still supported, and the space below is limited. In the short term, the copper price may fluctuate.

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