1、 Price trend
As of June 12th, the average price quoted by domestic high-quality DMF enterprises was 4760 yuan/ton. This week, the operating rate of the DMF industry in China was 65% -70%, slightly lower than last week. Some small and medium-sized enterprises experienced negative or short-term maintenance due to profit inversion. The DMF market remained stable this week.
2、 Cause analysis
Market supply: Currently, DMF is at a high inventory level with operating rates maintained at 65% -70%. Small and medium-sized production capacity may continue to decline, and the loose supply pattern is difficult to change. The overall market supply is relatively loose, and there is insufficient driving force for price increases. Inventory consumption is slow, and mainstream prices fluctuate in the range of 4600-4900 yuan/ton. High end products are resistant to decline, but there is insufficient driving force for a significant increase.
In terms of the market, downstream demand for small orders is low, bulk purchasing willingness is low, upstream inventory pressure is high, low-priced shipments are the main focus, negotiation focus is weak, price stability is weak, transaction volume is light, and the game is intensifying. This week, DMF prices fluctuated narrowly and the focus was weak, spot transactions were light, and the upstream and downstream games were intense.
In terms of demand, the off-season in traditional fields continues, and the demand for PU slurry is difficult to improve. The demand for pharmaceutical and electronic materials remains stable with no significant increase. In the third quarter, during the peak season for shoes and clothing, there is a marginal improvement in the demand for PU slurry. The demand for pharmaceutical and electronic materials is steadily increasing, and the demand for lithium batteries is increasing.
3、 Future forecast
DMF analysts believe that the DMF market is expected to experience low volatility in the short term, with sufficient market supply and limited downstream demand, resulting in a narrow and weak operation.
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