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Polyoxymethylene prices fall this week (6.29-7.3)

1、 Market price trend chart of paraformaldehyde

 

Polyoxymethylene price curve

 

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According to the monitoring of the business agency, at the beginning of this week, the average quotation of Polyoxymethylene (96) in Shandong Province was 4433 yuan / ton, while that at the weekend was 4400 yuan / ton, down 0.75%.

 

2、 Market analysis

 

Shandong aldehyde Chemical Industry Co., Ltd., with an annual output of 30000 tons of paraformaldehyde, Polyoxymethylene (96) ex factory, including tax, quoted 4600 yuan / ton, which was the same as last week. Linyi Shengyang Chemical Co., Ltd., with an annual output of 9000 tons of paraformaldehyde, Polyoxymethylene (96) ex factory, including tax, is quoted at 4000 yuan / ton, which is 100 yuan / ton lower than last week. Zibo Qixing Chemical Technology Co., Ltd., with an annual output of 10000 tons of paraformaldehyde, Polyoxymethylene (96) ex factory, including tax, quoted 4600 yuan / ton, which was the same as last week. Paraformaldehyde is still stable.

 

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According to the price monitoring of the upstream methanol, methanol is mainly operated in a narrow range in the near future, which is unfavorable to the price of paraformaldehyde; the downstream demand of paraformaldehyde is a traditional off-season in summer, which drags down the market of paraformaldehyde.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

To sum up, business community polyoxymethylene analysts believe: the price will probably go down.

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Salicylic acid market was Weak in stability this week (6.29-7.3)

1、 Price trend

 

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According to the price monitoring of the business association, the average price of salicylic acid (industrial grade) mainstream manufacturers was 14666.67 yuan / ton on July 3, which was flat compared with the price at the beginning of the week, and the market has been running smoothly in the near future.

 

2、 Market analysis

 

This week, the salicylic acid market was stable and weak, and the export was not good. In addition, the domestic market gradually entered the off-season, some downstream enterprises reduced their load operation, and the demand side was weak. At the same time, the price of raw material phenol fell, and the price of salicylic acid remained stable as a whole, and some of them were slightly reduced with little change. As of July 3, the price of industrial grade salicylic acid of Zhenjiang MaoYuan Chemical Co., Ltd. was about 15000 yuan / ton, that of pharmaceutical grade was 24000 yuan / ton, and that of sublimation grade was 22000 yuan / ton. The price of industrial grade salicylic acid is about 14000 yuan / ton, that of pharmaceutical grade is 29000 yuan / ton, and that of sublimation grade is 20000 yuan / ton. The industrial price of salicylic acid in Shandong Longxin is about 15000 yuan / ton, the ex factory price of pharmaceutical grade is about 25000 yuan / ton, the ex factory price of sublimation grade is about 18000 yuan / ton, and the ex factory price of methyl salicylate is about 24300 yuan / ton. The actual transaction is mainly through negotiation.

 

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The upstream phenol market continued to decline. In July, the operating rate of phenol plants in China dropped to 60%. In July, the 350000 T / a phenol ketone plant in Tianjin Zhongsha is expected to start on July 10, the 400000 T / a phenol ketone plant of Shanghai xisa chemical is expected to start in late July, the 320000 T / a phenol ketone unit of Yangzhou Shiyou is expected to start on July 10, and the 400000 t / a phenol ketone unit of Sinopec No.3 well will be shut down on June 28, and it is expected to start up at the end of August. Therefore, from the late July, the operating rate is expected to rise, the supply is relatively sufficient, the demand side is looking at the low buying gas, the industry is not prosperous, and the factory start-up is also gradually declining. In the international situation, some factories are gradually returning to work, and the import volume is steadily increasing. The business association predicts that the demand side is hard to say good, and the supply side is full of bad news. The phenol Market is expected to be 6400-6800 yuan / ton in July.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

Salicylic acid analysts of the business agency believe that: the recent cost side price has fallen, the superposition of off-season demand is poor, the trading is general, some specifications of salicylic acid are slightly reduced, and the trend of salicylic acid is expected to continue to be weak and stable in the short term.

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Aniline price in this month is stable with small fluctuation, and it is difficult to fall sharply in the later period (June 1-June 30, 2020)

1、 Price trend

The price of aniline in Shandong was 4400 yuan / ton on June 1 and 4500 yuan / ton in Nanjing on June 1, and 4300 yuan / ton in Shandong and 4500 yuan / ton in Nanjing on June 30, a decrease of 1.5% this month.

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2、 Analysis and comment

In terms of raw materials, the listed price of pure benzene on June 1 was 3450-3850 yuan / ton (with an average price of 3600 yuan / ton), and on June 30, it was 3120-3500 yuan / ton (with an average price of 3330 yuan / ton), which was 270 yuan / ton lower than that on June 1, with a decrease of 7.5% this month. In the first ten days of this month, the rising trend of pure benzene continued last month, and the operating rate of petrochemical enterprises also increased. Thanks to the gradual improvement of the macro-economic situation, the crude oil market has repeatedly received good news. Driven by the rising cost, pure benzene, as a direct related product of crude oil downstream, also rose. The operating rate increased, supply increased, and port inventory continued to rise since March, resulting in weak pure benzene Market in the middle of the year. Due to the inventory in the late ten days of the port, as well as the inventory pressure is difficult to release. Downstream market is generally weak, styrene, aniline loss, thus the purchase of pure benzene is also weak. Under the condition of oversupply, the price of pure benzene fell all the way.

 

Nitric acid rose slightly in June, and the price stabilized after rising 16.67 yuan / ton on June 9. On June 1, the price of nitric acid in East China was 1433.33 yuan / ton and 1450 yuan / ton on June 30, up 16.67 yuan / ton or 1.16% this month.

 

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This month, aniline fluctuated and fell, the overall price fluctuation was not big, and the operation was mainly based on big stability and small movement. Affected by the cost in the middle of the year, aniline in Shandong Province rose by 100 yuan / ton; in the last ten days, the cost dropped, combined with the pressure of inventory, the aniline in Shandong Province decreased by 200 yuan / ton. At present, aniline theoretical profit loss.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

In terms of raw materials, the atmosphere in the downstream market is weak, the inventory is overstocked due to the high opening rate of petrochemical industry, and the port inventory remains high. It is difficult to change the short-term oversupply situation. It is expected that the price of pure benzene will break through difficulties in July.

 

Aniline is in a loss state, and the downstream demand is low, enterprises take the strategy of reducing the price. In addition, it is difficult to change the cost in the short term. It is estimated that the aniline price in July will be mainly stable, and it is difficult to have a significant fall.

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Stable operation of monoammonium phosphate, poor demand for diammonium phosphate (6.16-6.30)

1、 Price trend

According to the business club’s large list data, the average ex factory price of powdered monoammonium was 1866 yuan / ton on June 16, and 1866 yuan / ton on June 30.

 

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According to the business club’s large list data, the average ex factory price of 64% diammonium on June 16 was 2145 yuan / ton, and that on June 30 was 2145 yuan / ton, which was stable.

 

2、 Market analysis

 

The price of monoammonium phosphate remained stable in the second half of June. In Anhui Province, 55% powdered ammonium was quoted at 1900-1950 yuan / T, and the start-up was stable. In Hubei Province, the ex factory quotation of 55% powdered ammonium is about 1850-1950 yuan / ton, and that of 60% powdered ammonium is 2000-2100 yuan / ton. The market in Henan maintained stable operation, 55% powdered ammonium was quoted at about 1950 yuan / T, and the start-up was stable. The price of 55% powdered ammonium in Shandong Province is 1850-1950 yuan / ton, and the price is stable. The factory quotation of 55% powdered ammonium in Sichuan is about 1950 yuan / ton.

 

The price of diammonium phosphate remained stable in the second half of June. At present, the mainstream factory quotation of 64% diammonium in Hubei Province is 2150-2250 yuan / ton, that in Shandong Province is 2200-2300 yuan / ton, that in Yunnan Guizhou area is 2300-2400 yuan / ton, and that in Anhui Province is 2200-2350 yuan / ton. In Gansu Province, 64% DAP mainstream factory quotation is 2250-2400 yuan / T. The quotation of 64% diammonium at the first arrival station in Heilongjiang Province is about 2400 yuan / ton.

 

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On June 16, some mining enterprises in Guizhou Province lowered the price of phosphate ore. subsequently, the domestic phosphate ore market basically operated in a weak and stable manner. So far, there has been no significant change in the market. In the off-season market, the overall shipment is still slow. At present, the inventory is large and the downstream demand is general. At present, the external market news of sulfur is relatively flat, the market is not good for pulling, and the market operation is stable and weak. In the later stage, it is still necessary to observe the release of downstream demand and external price dynamics. Downstream compound fertilizer enterprises started to prepare raw materials in autumn, and the follow-up was slow.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

Ammonium phosphate analysts of the business club believe that the industry of monoammonium phosphate is optimistic in the second half of June, but the follow-up of downstream compound fertilizer is insufficient, which conflicts with high prices. It is expected that monoammonium phosphate will maintain stable operation in the later period. Domestic demand for diammonium phosphate has not improved, and more goods are sold on demand. It is expected that the market of diammonium phosphate will be weak and stable in the future.

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The market price of ammonium nitrate rose slightly in June

According to statistics, the domestic market price of ammonium nitrate rose slightly in June. By the end of the month, the market price of ammonium nitrate was 2340 yuan / ton, which was 0.43% higher than the price of 2330 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month, and 18.98% higher than that at the beginning of the month.

 

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In June, the price trend of domestic ammonium nitrate market rose slightly. The equipment of domestic ammonium nitrate manufacturers operated stably. Recently, the on-site supply of goods was normal. Some manufacturers reported that the inquiry situation increased, and the market price rose slightly. In recent years, the market of ammonium nitrate manufacturers is generally in general, and the downstream is purchased on demand. In the near future, the trend of downstream nitro compound fertilizer is stable, and the domestic downstream civil explosive industry is still stopping production. The domestic ammonium nitrate manufacturers are operating normally, and the market price of ammonium nitrate is rising slightly. Up to now, the mainstream of negotiation in Shaanxi is 2200-2400 yuan / ton, that in Shandong is 2000-2200 yuan / ton, and that in Hebei is 2400-2700 yuan / ton.

 

The price of domestic concentrated nitric acid rose slightly in June, and the average price of domestic nitric acid was 1450 yuan / ton by the end of the month, with an increase of 1.15%. Jiangsu Hongze Yinzhu Chemical Co., Ltd. quoted 1400 yuan / ton; Anhui Jinhe quoted 1350 yuan / ton; Shandong helitai offered 1700 yuan / ton. Anhui Aodeli quoted 1400 yuan / ton; Wenshui County synthetic chemical industry quoted 1580 yuan / ton. In recent years, the domestic maintenance units have been running stably, the concentrated nitric acid market supply is normal, and the on-site goods circulation is general. In June, the market price of nitric acid rose slightly, and the price of raw material nitric acid rose slightly, which is a good support for the market of ammonium nitrate, and the market price of ammonium nitrate is slightly higher.

 

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The domestic market price of liquid ammonia rose slightly in June. By the end of the month, the price of liquid ammonia was 3066.67 yuan / ton, 1.10% higher than the price of 3033.33 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month. According to the monitoring of the business agency, the domestic liquid ammonia market is stable and small. Hebei has been maintaining a stable price in recent years, and large factories are shipping normally. A Cangzhou plant still does not sell liquid ammonia. The amount of liquid ammonia in the region remains tight and the price is relatively firm. By the end of the month, the price was 2700-2900 yuan / ton. In Northeast China, the downstream procurement is not reduced, and the demand for phosphate fertilizer is still at the end of the peak season, so the price difference between Shandong and Hebei is about 200 yuan, and the current price is 2800-3000 yuan / ton. The domestic liquid ammonia supply pressure still exists, especially the regional imbalance, which leads to greater supply pressure in some regions. In terms of demand, the peak season of downstream fertilizer demand ends and the downstream procurement withdraws, which leads to the pressure expectation in the later stage of liquid ammonia supply.

 

In recent years, the demand for the downstream civil explosive industry is general, the market demand for ammonium nitrate is normal, and the market price of raw material liquid ammonia has a downward trend, so the market price of ammonium nitrate has lost some cost support. Ammonium nitrate analysts believe that the market price of ammonium nitrate will maintain stability in the later stage.

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