1、 Price trend
According to the price monitoring of the business agency, on March 1, the average ex factory price of the mainstream manufacturers was 22166.67 yuan / ton, and on the weekend (6 days) the average price was 22500 yuan / ton. This week’s market slightly increased by 1.5%. On March 5, the R134a commodity index was 82.32, up 1.22 points from yesterday, down 17.68% from the highest point of 100.00 points (2019-09-02), and up 1.50% from the lowest point of 81.10 points on March 4, 2020. (Note: cycle refers to 2019-09-01 till now)
| PVA 1799 (PVA BF17) |
2、 Market analysis
Product: Refrigerant Market R134a rose this week. At present, the market of hydrofluoric acid and chloroform at the raw material end is good, which supports refrigerant R134a. In addition, with the increase of refrigerant stock in the automobile industry and the demand for temperature return, it is conducive to the rising of refrigerant R134a price. At present, the refrigerant R134a starts at a high level in the market, and the new capacity is not released. At the same time, due to the impact of the East Sunshine fluorine accident, the factory is cautious in receiving orders. The supply of R134a market is tight, and the price has the potential to rise. According to the price monitoring of the business agency, as of March 6, Zhejiang Juhua R134a offered 22000 yuan / ton, Quzhou Jiuzhou chemical R134a 22500 yuan / ton and Zhejiang lengwang technology R134a 23000 yuan / ton, The quotation of Yuemei chemical R134a is 21600 yuan / ton, that of Longxun trade R134a is 22000 yuan / ton, that of Yumei chemical R134a is 22000 yuan / ton, that of blue planet R134a is 25000 yuan / ton, and the price is concentrated in 22000 yuan / ton – 25000 yuan / ton.
Industry chain: this week, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid slightly increased. On March 6, the mainstream price of domestic anhydrous hydrofluoric acid manufacturers was 10500-11500 yuan / ton. The factory price of some manufacturers in the field was temporarily stable. The operation rate of domestic hydrofluoric acid manufacturers was average, the supply of goods in the field was slightly strained, and the market price in the field remained high. The terminal and air-conditioning market are weak in purchase and sale, the inventory in the field is acceptable, the construction is insufficient, the automobile industry is preparing goods for temperature return, and the refrigerant R134a price is favorable.
| PVA 1788 (PVA BP17) |
Industry: according to the price monitoring of the business agency, there are 10 commodities in the list of rise and fall of bulk commodity prices on March 5, 2020, among which the top three commodities are monoammonium phosphate (3.59%), R134a (1.50%) and 1,4-butanediol (0.83%). There are 10 kinds of commodities decreased on a month on month basis, and the top three products were crude benzene (- 3.70%), butanone (- 3.63%) and aniline (- 1.93%). The average price of this day was – 0.06%.
3、 Future forecast
According to the refrigerant analyst of business club, the supply of refrigerant R134a in the market is tight, and the raw material end and demand end have good performance. It is expected that refrigerant R134a will be slightly increased in the short term.
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