I. price trend
According to the price monitoring of the business agency, the factory price of domestic refrigerant R22 this week ran smoothly. On December 9, the average price of mainstream manufacturers was 17100 yuan / ton, and on the weekend (13 days), 17100 yuan / ton. This week’s market was stable. On December 15, the R22 commodity index was 102.60, which was the same as yesterday, a new record in the cycle, 23.02% higher than 83.40, the lowest point on October 14, 2019. (Note: cycle refers to 2019-09-01 till now)
II. Market analysis
| PVA 1788 (PVA BP17) |
Product: market price of R22 in refrigerant market is stable this week. At the end of the year, the quota of refrigerant R22 was gone, and the market was out of stock. Most manufacturers basically did not receive new orders. They mainly supply orders, and the price was high and stable. Hydrofluoric acid at the raw material end rose this week, with strong cost side and no improvement in refrigerant R22 demand at the terminal. The transaction price of bulk water market of traders is chaotic, and the supply of goods in their hands is tight. According to the data monitoring of Italian society, as of December 16, the average price of refrigerant R22 was 17100 yuan / ton, and the quotation was mostly concentrated in the range of 14500 yuan / ton to 18800 yuan / ton. The trend of refrigerant R22 was stable.
Industry chain: the price trend of domestic hydrofluoric acid and hydrofluoric acid of upstream products is rising. In the near future, the factory in the field is generally in good condition, and the spot supply in the field is normal. The price of domestic trichloromethane of upstream products fell. Due to the shortage of supply in the early stage, the supply in the industry is still tight at present. In addition, the supply of trichloromethane in Shandong Province is gradually recovering. Under the condition that the supply exceeds the demand, the price of trichloromethane is expected to gradually drop. The downstream market’s receiving intention is flat, and the industry’s trading is slightly light. The terminal air conditioner manufacturer starts at a low level and the demand is flat.
| PVA FIBER |
Industry: according to the price monitoring of the business agency, in the 49th week of 2019 (12.9-12.13), there are 24 kinds of commodities rising month on month in the chemical industry sector, including 4 kinds of commodities rising by more than 5%, accounting for 4.7% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top three commodities are glycol (17.59%), crude benzene (7.07%) and aniline (6.81%). There are 28 commodities with a decline of more than 5% on a month on month basis, accounting for 1.2% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top three products with a decline are hydrochloric acid (- 6.41%), chloroform (- 4.55%), and bisphenol A (- 3.62%). This week’s average was 0.07%.
III. future forecast
According to the refrigerant analyst of the business club, the quota of R22 enterprise is no longer available, and there is a shortage of goods. Most manufacturers do not accept new orders, mainly supply orders, and the price is high and stable. It is expected that R22 will run smoothly in the short term.
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