I. price trend
According to the monitoring data of business agency, as of December 10, the latest price of cyclohexanone in China was 7183 yuan / ton, down 2.49% month on month and 34.30% year on year. The domestic market of cyclohexanone is mainly sorted out.
II. Market analysis
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Products: at present, domestic cyclohexanone manufacturers have made it clear that there are not many offers. The shipping level of enterprises is around 7200-7300 yuan / ton. Most of them supply supporting downstream production demand, and the inventory level is low. South China’s cyclohexanone market rebounded slightly, following up the upstream trend. The negotiation was delivered with reference to 7900-8000 yuan / ton. The supply of goods decreased to a certain extent, the trend of pure benzene gave cost support, and the procurement of downstream solvent was not fully followed up. The market of cyclohexanone in East China has been consolidated, and the price of pure benzene enterprises has been raised to a certain extent. The price of 7600-7700 yuan / ton is referred for on-site negotiation. Some of the selling prices are slightly higher, and the short-term merchants are waiting for the upstream boost, and the market signs of stop falling exist.
Industrial chain: pure benzene: Asian pure benzene Market: in January, the Buyer intends to buy goods at US $731 / ton FOB South Korea, and in February, the Buyer intends to buy goods at US $705 / ton FOB South Korea. Domestic pure benzene Market: the negotiation of pure benzene market dropped, and the intention of selling decreased. The negotiation reference is 5700-5750 yuan / ton, some of the buying is slightly lower, and the negotiation of far month goods is 5500-5650 yuan / ton. The enthusiasm for replenishment has declined to some extent.
Caprolactam: the US dollar market of caprolactam has maintained consolidation, with stable offers from businesses, light inquiry atmosphere in downstream factories, few actual orders in the market, and the mainstream market negotiation reference is 1190-1210 US dollars / ton. Caprolactam liquid market is relatively strong, and the main real single negotiation price in East China market is 10800-10900 yuan / ton (delivered by acceptance within 6 months), up 300 yuan / ton. Caprolactam business offer up, the focus of market negotiations higher. Downstream buyers are mainly cautious and wait-and-see, and the market trading atmosphere is light.
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III. future forecast
On the positive side, there is a certain interest in low price replenishment; the trend of pure benzene has a certain support. On the negative side, the demand for solvent is insufficient; the price of enterprise is low. The upstream pure benzene keeps firm operation, and the downstream caprolactam market goes higher. The business community cyclohexanone analysts expect that the domestic market of cyclohexanone will stop falling clearly, and the price is expected to rise in the short term
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