I. price trend
According to the monitoring data of business agency, as of December 3, the latest price of cyclohexanone in China was 7183 yuan / ton, down 9.07% month on month and 35.29% year on year. The domestic market of cyclohexanone was weak and down.
| PVA 1799 (PVA BF17) |
II. Market analysis
Products: at present, domestic cyclohexanone manufacturers have made it clear that there are not many offers. The shipping level of enterprises is around 7200-7400 yuan / ton. Most of them supply supporting downstream production demand, and the inventory level is low. The South China cyclohexanone market has been reorganized and operated. The negotiation is based on 7800-7900 yuan / ton delivery. The main trading intention is at the low end or below. The low price of the enterprise has a great restriction on the market rebound, and the supply side is general. The market of cyclohexanone in East China has been reorganized and operated, and the reference for in-house negotiation is 7700-7800 yuan / ton. The upstream pure benzene operation has been supported to some extent, but the downstream is weak as a whole, the market has been reorganized for a short time, and the rebound power is limited.
Industrial chain: pure benzene: Asian pure benzene Market: in February, the intention of goods sales is 662-663 US dollars / ton FOB South Korea, and in January, the intention of goods buyers is 667 US dollars / ton FOB South Korea. Domestic pure benzene Market: East China’s pure benzene market remains firm, and the negotiation of import market goes up. Domestic trade negotiation references 5400-5450 yuan / ton, and the negotiation of far month goods is 5200-5350 yuan / ton. There is an increase in on-site wait-and-see, but the increase in external sales does not produce an effective boost, and the downstream weak support is insufficient.
| PVA 1788 (PVA BP17) |
Caprolactam: the weak market of US $caprolactam was sorted out, the offer of merchants was stable, the inquiry atmosphere of downstream factories was light, there were not many actual orders in the market, and the mainstream transaction negotiation reference in the market was 1190-1210 US dollars / ton. The caprolactam liquid market maintained consolidation, and the main real single negotiated price in East China market was 10600-10700 yuan / ton (6 months’ acceptance delivery), stable. Caprolactam merchants offer to maintain stability, the focus of market negotiations is not volatile. Downstream buyers are mainly cautious and wait-and-see, and the market trading atmosphere is light.
III. future forecast
On the positive side, there is a certain interest in low price replenishment; the trend of pure benzene has a certain support. On the negative side, the demand for solvent is insufficient; the price of enterprise is low. The upstream shocks remain firm, but the downstream is generally weak, the solvent market demand is limited, and the enterprise price is low. The cyclohexanone analysts of the business society expect that the domestic market for cyclohexanone will be mainly consolidated in the short term.
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