First, the price trend
According to the price of the business community monitoring, this week the domestic calcium carbide market prices, the weekend manufacturers offer the average price of 2715.00 yuan / ton, the factory price this week, the average price of 2754.44 yuan / ton, offer up 39 yuan / ton, or 1.43% With the same period last year rose 14.77%.
Second, the trend analysis
(A) products: domestic calcium carbide factory prices generally rose last week, Inner Mongolia Wuhai, Ordos region calcium carbide mainstream ex-factory price 2750-2800 yuan / ton; Inner Mongolia Wumeng area a product price 2780-2850 yuan / ton; Ningxia Shizuishan area calcium carbide The mainstream ex-factory price 2750-2850 yuan / ton; Shaanxi factory 2750-2850 yuan / ton; Gansu 2800-2850 yuan / ton. Affected by the increase in procurement costs of raw materials, September 11 – September 15, calcium carbide manufacturers a wave of price increases, calcium carbide factory price generally raised 50-100 yuan / ton.
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(B) industrial chain:
Upstream raw materials market, coke September 15 offer the average price of 2182.50 yuan / ton, compared with September 11 offer average price of 2095.00 yuan / ton, up 4.18% over the same period last year rose 78.35%, cost increases, to promote calcium carbide prices.
Downstream PVC market fell, the formation of the impact of calcium carbide fell this week, the overall domestic PVC prices fell slightly as a whole. Take the sample calcium carbide SG5, for example, the beginning of the week to maintain the price of 7566.67 yuan / ton, the weekend fell to 7558.33 yuan / ton, the price fell 0.11% during the week, prices rose 24.78%. PVC futures market fell on Wednesday, from the beginning of the week 7430 yuan / ton, down to the weekend of 7160 yuan / ton, down 270 yuan / ton. This week the domestic PVC enterprise equipment operating rate decreased, calcium carbide procurement demand decreased, calcium carbide significantly.
(C) macro:
According to the price monitoring of the business community, the first half of 2017 (9.11-9.15) commodity prices rose in the list of chemical stocks in the ring than the rise of a total of 43 kinds of goods, the decline in the total number of 14 kinds of goods, this week, the chemical plate were up and down 1.23%.
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Third, the market outlook forecast
Calcium carbide prices continue to rise this week, the market outlook, affected by environmental supervision, PVC enterprises to stop production limited production enterprises, PVC equipment operating rate in the low, calcium carbide demand decline, the formation of negative calcium carbide market, but the raw material prices rose, Factor is the main factor supporting the rise in calcium carbide this week. Although the rising price of raw materials, making the cost of calcium carbide to further increase, but PVC demand decline, can not pull calcium carbide prices, is expected next week, calcium carbide prices will rise slightly, but the space is limited, calcium carbide prices will be Slightly adjusted, the price maintained at 2750-2850 yuan / ton.
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