Terminal demand is not good, the first week after the festival PVC market is stable with small fluctuate (10.08-10.12)

Price Trend

According to the data monitored by business associations (average price of SG5 manufactured by calcium carbide method), domestic PVC quoted 6700 yuan/ton on October 08, and 6682.5 yuan/ton on October 12. The overall decline was 0.26%. This week, the PVC market fell slightly.

II. Market Analysis

PVA 1788 (PVA BP17)

Product aspect: PVC futures continued to decline in the first week after the return of National Day. V2001 futures opened low on November 11 and rebounded in the tail, shrinking and increasing warehouse receipts. PVC spot trend is general, the policy of environmental protection and production restriction has been lifted one after another, road transportation has been restored smoothly, while some enterprises have entered the inspection and repair, raw material inventory continues to be low, spot actual delivery is flat, the profit of manufacturers is obvious, some manufacturers’prices have been slightly reduced, and the market as a whole is stable and small. Downstream cautious wait and see, speculative take very few goods, generally on-demand procurement, trading volume has not been released, market turnover is weak. Traders are not in a good mood, actively delivering goods and shifting the focus of business. According to the data monitoring of business associations, as of October 12, Shandong Dongyue PVC (SG5 with calcium carbide method) quoted 6800 yuan/ton, Inner Mongolia Junzheng PVC (SG5 with calcium carbide method) quoted 6450 yuan/ton, Sichuan Jinlu PVC (SG5 with calcium carbide method) quoted 6800 yuan/ton, Shanxi Yushe PVC (SG5 with calcium carbide method) quoted 6410 yuan/ton, Tianyuan Group PVC (SG5 with calcium carbide method) quoted 6750 yuan/ton, Henan Aerospace PVC (SG5 with calcium carbide method) quoted 6600 yuan/ton, and domestic PVC quoted 6600 yuan/ton. The main quotation range is 6400-6800 yuan / ton.

Industry chain: Calcium Carbide factory prices in Northwest China fell slightly this week. This weekend, the actual transaction price of calcium carbide in Northwest China is about 2800-3000 yuan/ton: the mainstream transaction price of calcium carbide in Shaanxi is about 2800-2900 yuan/ton; the mainstream transaction price of calcium carbide in Ningxia is about 2900 yuan/ton; the mainstream transaction price of calcium carbide in Inner Mongolia is about 3000 yuan/ton, and the actual transaction price is mainly negotiated. After the adjustment in September, the capital reflux of each factory is in good condition, the equipment has been repaired and the production capacity has increased. The price of raw materials in the upstream is low and consolidated. Compared with last year, the price has fallen considerably, the cost support is insufficient, and the price of calcium carbide will fluctuate and fall. The downstream products enterprises as a whole are still acceptable, but affected by the sentiment of buying up or not buying down, they lack the sense of stock-keeping. Most of them just need to replenish their warehouses, and their actual transactions are limited.

PVA 1799 (PVA BF17)

 

Industry: According to the price monitoring of business associations, there are two kinds of commodities in the 40 th week (10.7-10.11) of commodity price rising and falling list of rubber and plastic plate, the first two of which are natural rubber (1.03%) and PET (0.36%). There were 12 kinds of products with a decline of more than 5%, which accounted for 6.3% of the monitored products in this sector. The products with the first three declines were cis-butadiene rubber (-5.23%), styrene-butadiene rubber (-4.13%) and EPS (-3.69%). Average gains and losses this week were -1.19%.

3. Future Market Forecast

PVC business analysts believe that the recent small fluctuations in the PVC trading market, demand side temporarily difficult to make a big improvement, is expected to consolidate the market in the short term.

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