Price Trend

The average price of liquefied natural gas was 2973.33 yuan/ton in early September, and 2863.33 yuan/ton in the end of September 24, showing a downward trend of 3.7%. Prices fell 36.72% over the same period last year.

II. Analysis of Influencing Factors

Products: According to the data of business associations, as of September 24, the LNG price of Inner Mongolia Ordos Xingxing Energy Co., Ltd. was 2870 yuan/ton, and that of Inner Mongolia Etok Qianqi Shitai Natural Gas Co., Ltd. was 2850 yuan/ton. The LNG price of Zizhou LNG Plant of Shaanxi Luyuan Natural Gas Co., Ltd. is 2900 yuan/ton. The LNG price of Xinjiang Guanghui LNG Development Co., Ltd. is about 2300 yuan/ton. The LNG price of Qinshui New Olympics in Shanxi is 3100 yuan/ton. The LNG price of Shaanxi Zhongyuan LNG Co., Ltd. is 2870 yuan/ton. The Qinghua Energy Group in Xinjiang has the LNG price of 2870 yuan/ton. LNG Company Limited is priced at 3200 yuan/ton. Fluid prices vary from place to place and are generally at a low level.

Market analysis: In September, the liquefied petroleum gas market declined as a whole. In early September, affected by the northwest gas restriction, and some manufacturers have overhaul, the overall supply declined, boosting the liquefied natural gas market, LNG prices stopped falling and rebounded all the way up, reaching a peak of 3056.67 yuan/ton on the 4th, and the market is optimistic. However, 10 days after the end of the restriction, the market returned to normal supply, the liquor factory adjusted according to its own situation, the market atmosphere of LNG faded, major manufacturers to prepare for the pre-festival storage, have lowered the price of liquids, the market returned to its previous decline. At the end of the Mid-Autumn Festival, LNG power was restored and factory inventory was generally on the high side. In order to stimulate shipments, prices were lowered one after another. Near National Day, the upstream bidding is difficult, the mood of pre-festival warehouse is obvious, coupled with the high-speed restriction soon, major manufacturers continue to reduce prices and interest shipments, and some manufacturers due to the lower level in the early stage, price increases, but the overall trend is still weak. At present, the downstream demand is weak, the wait-and-see atmosphere is strong, the situation of supply exceeding demand remains unchanged, and there is no good signal in the market for the time being.

Industry: According to the price monitoring of business associations, there are four kinds of commodities in the rising and falling list of commodity prices on September 23, 2019. The top three commodities are methanol (0.55%), MTBE (0.51%) and fuel oil (0.43%). There are 8 kinds of commodities that have declined annually. The first three products are liquefied gas (-3.52%), coking coal (-0.87%) and liquefied natural gas (-0.57%). The average daily rise and fall was -0.28%.

3. Future Market Forecast

Liquefied Natural Gas analysts of business associations believe that the National Day holidays are approaching, in order to avoid poor transportation during the holidays and increase inventory, factories mostly promote sales before the holidays, and the domestic liquefied natural gas market is expected to maintain a steady downward trend in the short term.

Price Trend

According to business association monitoring data, on September 23, the market of organosilicon DMC showed a downward trend. The average price of organosilicon DMC in several mainstream areas monitored by the data was 20,100 yuan/ton. Compared with last Friday, September 20, the market price of organosilicon DMC dropped by about 1,000 yuan/ton, with a decline of -4.89%.

II. Market Analysis

Products: After the weak operation of the silicone DMC market last week and the small reduction of quotations by sporadic manufacturers, on September 23, the silicone DMC market highlighted a large reduction of quotations by some manufacturers. Less than a week after the National Day, most of the single factories began to stop production or limit production. The factories are in low inventory, the market supply is tight, and logistics will also affect transportation during the National Day. Despite the above favorable conditions, DMC market still fails to maintain a high level. Facing the rising momentum and the continuous wait-and-see of downstream demand, many downstream enterprises are generally short-sighted on the post-holiday market. Towards the end of the month, the trading atmosphere is still low. In order to stimulate travelling volume and increase the enthusiasm of downstream purchasing, some manufacturers have the idea of yielding profits and delivering goods. At present, as of September 23, a few manufacturers’DMC has fallen below the 20,000 mark. The range is nearly 1000 yuan/ton. At present, DMC mainstream offer is around 2000-21000 yuan/ton, and sporadic low-price offer is around 1500 yuan/ton.

Industry chain: Silicone oil and silica gel Market of downstream products are affected by DMC’s weakness. At present, the market is stable, moderately and slightly declining. The trading atmosphere of the market is insufficient. Most downstream enterprises are bullish on the trend of silicone oil in the later period. They hold a wait-and-see attitude and are particularly cautious in purchasing. At present, there are no obvious signs of downstream stockpiling and the atmosphere of stock-up. Lengthy, more with the use of picking.

3. Future Market Forecast

Business analysts believe that before the festival, due to the low start-up rate, some factories with low inventory may still have a strong price intention, but more attention should be paid to whether the downstream demand can be increased and whether the downstream active reserve atmosphere can be really stimulated.

Price Trend

Mainstream domestic prices of styrene rose first and then fell this week, according to a large number of data monitored by business associations. According to data from business associations, the prices of sample enterprises on Monday (Sept. 16) were 9066.67 yuan/ton, and on Friday (Sept. 20) the prices of sample enterprises were 8800.00 yuan/ton, a decline of 2.94%, a decline of 24.81% over the same period last year.

II. Market Analysis

Products:

This week, styrene market price rose first and then fell, and the market supply is in good condition. On Sept. 16, the closing price of styrene in East China was about 9000-9100 yuan/ton, while on Sept. 20, the closing price of styrene in East China was about 8700-8800 yuan/ton, down about 300 yuan/ton. The above price is Zhangjiagang’s canning price. On September 16, South China Styrene closed at 9,200 yuan/ton for delivery, and on September 20, South China Styrene closed at 8,900 yuan/ton for delivery, down 300 yuan/ton for delivery from above factories. This week, the market price of styrene rose first and then fell back. The market supply situation is good. The main reservoir area in East China has sufficient styrene stock. Domestic maintenance of styrene factories gradually restored supply. This week’s oil market prices rose sharply, leading to a rise in styrene prices at the beginning of the week. Near the weekend, the supply of styrene in the market was saturated, while the enthusiasm of downstream picking-up decreased, and the high-end prices gradually fell, leading to a decline in domestic styrene prices after this week’s rise. Recently, the market has been profitable in both holding and production links, but there is no support after the rapid rise, and the market has fallen back and consolidated.

Industrial chain:

The upstream crude oil market rose sharply this week, with strong news on the periphery. Both ethylene and pure benzene showed strong trends this week, which supported the production cost of styrene. Some downstream enterprises are actively picking up goods in the early period, and the stock of styrene is relatively sufficient. In addition, the environmental protection inspection before National Day will reduce the demand for styrene. The above situation will lead to the increase of bearish sentiment in the Styrene Market and the consecutive decline in prices until the weekend.

3. Prospects for the Later Period

Styrene analysts believe that in the current market situation, the situation of crude oil price rise may slow down, the extent of crude oil rise is limited, and downstream demand for small and medium-sized enterprises still has room to fall, the overall market buying support is insufficient, terminal digestion pressure. At the same time, domestic styrene overhaul factories have been reworked one after another, and domestic supply has increased, which will further increase the stock of styrene market. Styrene prices are expected to fall slightly next week.

On September 19, the PX commodity index was 52.80, unchanged from yesterday, down 48.44% from its peak of 102.40 points in the cycle (2013-02-28), and up 15.92% from its low of 45.55 points on February 15, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2013-02-01 to date).

According to statistics, the domestic market price trend of p-xylene was temporarily stable on the 19th. Hongrun 600,000 tons new plant was running steadily, Pengzhou Petrochemical Plant was running steadily, Urumqi Petrochemical Plant was started 50%, Fuhaichuang Aromatic Hydrocarbon Plant was started one line, CNOOC Huizhou Refinery and Chemical Plant was overhauled, Hengli Petrochemical PX Plant was put into operation, and other units were operated steadily. Temporarily stable operation, due to the normal domestic market supply of p-xylene, the market price trend of p-xylene is temporarily stable. The opening rate of PX plant in Asia is about 80%. On September 18, the closing price of p-xylene in Asia dropped by 31 US dollars per ton. The closing price is 799-801 US dollars per ton FOB in Korea and 818-820 US dollars per ton CFR in China. More than 50% of the domestic units need to be imported. The decline of foreign prices has a negative impact on the domestic market price of p-xylene. However, the domestic market price trend is temporarily stable.

On September 18, the price of WTI crude oil futures fell to 58.11 U.S. dollars per barrel, or 1.23 U.S. dollars. Brent crude oil futures fell to 63.60 U.S. dollars per barrel, or 0.95 U.S. dollars. Saudi energy minister Abdulaziz Ben Salman held a news conference in Jeddah on the evening of 17 local time. Saudi Arabia will soon resume most of its oil production and fully resume all production in a few weeks. Crude oil prices have fallen, with limited impact on downstream petrochemical products and a decline in the external price of paraxylene. Recent textile industry volatility, PTA market opening rate maintained high, PTA price trend temporarily stable, the average price of East China in the vicinity of 5400-5500 yuan/ton self-raised, as of 18 days domestic PTA starting rate rose to 97.7%, polyester industry starting rate in about 90%, due to increased PTA supply, trading atmosphere is general, buy to trade. Easy to trade, sporadic polyester factories follow up, affected by the decline in crude oil prices downstream PTA market prices slightly lower, is expected to maintain PX market prices in the short term or 6600 yuan/ton.

Price Trend

The domestic butadiene market has been rising recently. As of September 18, the price of butadiene was 1012 yuan/ton, rising by 10.11% annually and falling by 11.06% year-on-year, according to business association monitoring.

II. Analysis of Influencing Factors

Products: The domestic butadiene market continues to rise, the inventory of export manufacturers is low, the short-term rally stimulates the enthusiasm of downstream inquiries, Sinopec and Northern export manufacturers have substantially increased their prices, boosting the overall market high up. In terms of price, the high-grade products in Shandong are sent to the price reference of 11700-11800 yuan/ton and 12000 yuan/ton in East China. In the afternoon, the supply price of private factories in Shandong rose sharply to 12 200 yuan/ton, and the offer of sporadic merchants increased slightly, but the high price was limited for reference only.

On the market side, the reference price of North China butadiene market is around 12300 yuan/ton. Fushun Petrochemical Co. Ltd. has a high bidding level. Businessmen’offer has been rising. The downstream market just needs to buy. Near the reference price of 12600-12800 yuan/ton for butadiene in East China, the offer in the northern market has risen, the spot in the region is limited, and the offer of businessmen has risen with the increase, and the real order has been negotiated.

Installation: Yangtze Petrochemical 220,000 tons/year plant, 220,000 tons/year plant, 3 Jiutai, Inner Mongolia, operates at low load with a small amount of export. The 50,000 tons/year butadiene plant of Puyang Bluestar Chemical Company was shut down, the raw material supply was insufficient, the start-up time was undetermined, and the latest export price was 11,700 yuan/ton.

3. Future Market Forecast

Fushun Petrochemical Restarted Export, the spot supply in the northern market increased slightly, but short-term factory inventory was low, the upstream part of the upstream mood still exists. In addition, Sinopec’s rising supply price has boosted the mentality of some businessmen. The supply and demand fundamentals of the market are on the strong side. Business analysts predict that the short-term domestic butadiene market. The market continues to go up and tidy up. It is suggested to pay attention to the latest prices and trading situation of manufacturers.