Latest market average price of silicon metal (441 × 3) (November 21, 2019): 11825 yuan / ton
The price of 441 × silicon in each region is as follows:
The price range of metal silicon in Fujian is 11300-11400 yuan / ton, in Sichuan is 11600-11700 yuan / ton, in Kunming is 11600-11700 yuan / ton, in Shanghai is 12400-12600 yuan / ton, in Tianjin is 11800-11900 yuan / ton, in Huangpu is 11900-12000 yuan/ Tons.
In 2019, the overall price of silicon fell first and then rose. In the previous eight months, the price of silicon fell continuously. In the recent three months, it began to rebound.
According to the data of business agency, as of November 21, the average market price of_siliconmetal was 11441.67 yuan / ton compared with the beginning of the month, up 3.35% in the month; the average market price was 10633.33 yuan / ton compared with the low level (early August), up 11.21%; the current price is close to the first ten days of June, down 2.87% in 2019.
Market rebound supported by low price supply and volume contraction
In the past three months, the price of silicon metal has stopped falling and risen. On the one hand, based on the sharp drop of silicon price in the early stage, market people think that it is the bottom of the market. In the expectation of limited downward space, domestic downstream enterprises conduct monthly bidding and centralized procurement; traders enter the market for procurement and active trading. It is reported that at the end of July, it was even difficult to find transportation vehicles in Kunming and the freight from Kunming to Guangzhou rose.
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On the other hand, the supply side is slightly reduced by cost factors. It is reported that at the beginning of August, the maintenance capacity of some manufacturers in Xinjiang, Qinghai, Inner Mongolia and other regions, and some high-cost capacity were successively cleared out of the market. At the end of September, due to the limited power generation, the electricity price of Xinjiang Shihezi large grid was increased, and the starting load of one of the three local silicon plants was reduced to 50%; in late October, affected by the adjustment of the electricity price to the normal water period in some areas of Sichuan Province, the silicon production cost increased and the supply decreased, and the production of Southwest silicon plant was slightly reduced, such as the production of Yunnan Dehong limited film silicon plant. However, the main factories supplying raw materials for domestic silicone plants are concentrated in Sichuan. At present, the overall willingness of silicon plants to hold up prices is obviously strengthened.
List of three downstream data of aluminum alloy, silicone and polysilicon
1. From January to October, the total output of aluminum alloy declined and the export situation was good
According to the latest updated data on the website of the National Bureau of statistics, the output of aluminum alloy in October was 813000 tons, up 1.5% year on year; the total output from January to October was 7.481 million tons, down 7.3% year on year.
In terms of import and export, according to the data of China Customs, the export volume of unwrought rolled aluminum and aluminum products in October was 431000 tons, and the total export volume from January to October was 4.801 million tons, an increase of 1.4% year on year.
2. Organosilicon DMC, which soared in mid June, started its downward mode in late September
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According to the data of business agency, the domestic average price of organosilicon DMC on November 20 was 17033.33 yuan / ton, which was close to the market average price when the price of organosilicon DMC rose and started (the market average price of organosilicon DMC on June 14 was 16366.67 yuan / ton).
3. Polysilicon fell and rose slightly in recent March
It is reported that at present, the domestic polysilicon market is stable in August and bottomed out, and the price starts to rise in the middle and late September. The market atmosphere is fair. At present, the polysilicon market is still rigid and stable. From the perspective of the current high operating rate of enterprises, the inventory pressure of enterprises has not expanded sharply, and the market demand is moderate.
Expected market outlook
In the near future, Japan’s regular quarterly bidding may improve the export situation. In addition, the overall domestic supply has moved down, and the overall willingness of silicon plants to hold prices has been significantly strengthened. In the later stage, we will focus on the downstream demand changes, and it is expected that the short-term operation of metal silicon will be mainly strong.
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