August 21 CFR China ethylene glycol offer up, reported 875 US dollars / ton, compared with the previous day raised 10 US dollars / ton.

First, the price trend

Butadiene market this week, the overall market rose broadly. The price of butadiene is 8867 yuan / ton, as of August 18, butadiene price of 9621 yuan / ton, the week rose 8.49%, prices rose 13.47% over the same period last year.

Second, the impact of factors

Products: Butadiene outside the trend continued upward this week, synthetic rubber market offer continued to pull up, strong performance of the rubber industry chain, butadiene market to promote the formation of the market. Week Sinopec sales company price increase this week, 700 yuan / ton to 9800 yuan / ton, northeast manufacturers have raised the price of two nodes, low inventory support industry mentality. Demand surface performance is stable, the real impetus is limited, the downstream mentality gradually return to caution, high-priced transactions have resistance to just want to buy the main.

Industrial chain: rubber industry chain continued upward trend, synthetic rubber market continues to pull up, coupled with the Northeast manufacturers to maintain low inventory, butadiene market is still good support. Shandong Witt Chemical Butadiene plant recently restart, the latter part of the export may be, in late August in early September a large number of cargo arrived in Asia, the spot tension or supplement, there are negative factors.

Macro: July 2017, the business community commodity supply and demand index (BCI) 0.39, were up 2.47%, reflecting the month of the manufacturing economy was expanding last month, the economy running smoothly.

Third, the market outlook forecast

The current downstream to consume pre-inventory-based, high resistance to the price, but by the tight supply and supply side price increase boost, the business community butadiene analysts expect domestic butadiene next week, gains.

First, the price trend

According to the survey data show that the weekend weekend BDO price of 11200 yuan / ton, the price rose 33.86% over the same period last year.

Second, the market analysis

Products: This week, the domestic BDO market narrow order, the market supply support is insufficient, the supply operating rate remained at 6 percent near the week, the East source, integration and long still still stop, but the overall supply of little impact on the market supply performance Adequate, factory insured under the intention of the offer temporarily cautious strong, but the demand for performance in general, some manufacturers higher inventory.

Industrial chain: the demand for downstream polyurethane industry this week has rebounded, but the impact of environmental protection by the environmental impact of the existence of parking correction phenomenon, the market follow-up good general, but the general trend of polyurethane raw materials under the tide, BDO manufacturers expected strong, but supply and demand Saw the game, who is still on the sidelines to wait and see supply and demand changes.

Macro: July 2017, the business community commodity supply and demand index (BCI) 0.39, were up 2.47%, reflecting the month of the manufacturing economy was expanding last month, the economy running smoothly.

Third, the market outlook forecast

On the whole, the market supply and demand saws still exist, the supplier to make the price cautious, but good hard to find, the market can not help but still weak part of the expected. Business community BDO analysts believe that next week BDO market narrow range of weak operation, the main business single bulk offer maintained at 11,000 yuan / ton.

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First, the price trend

Business community: maleic anhydride market this week, deep down no bottom (8.14-8.18)

This week, the average price of maleic anhydride offer is 8414.29 yuan / ton (both tax), down -4.69%, while August 1 has fallen as much as -8.64%.

Second, the market analysis

Products: Into August, the domestic maleic anhydride market opened a sharp decline in the model to Shandong, for example, August 1, solid anhydride is ex-factory price to 8400 yuan / ton, as of the report of anhydride exports to 7500 yuan / ton, half of the time Maleic anhydride prices fell nearly a thousand dollars, while the liquid anhydride is more concentrated because of the supply, more than a solid anhydride.

Industrial chain: the domestic factory is relatively stable operation, the current supply of only benzene to maintain the low operation, the market liquidity is still difficult to improve performance, and the price close to the cost line and the bottom of the operation, so that the factory kept very willing, the decline has slowed. However, the supply of butane method is relatively concentrated, although the Dongying Qi, Xinjiang Jinyuan device parking, but Shandong, Jiangsu and Zhejiang manufacturers operating stable, and early parking has been overhauled, so recently heard of new maintenance plans, especially liquid anhydride supply Supply is abundant, fear of the price is still a certain pressure to suppress the market has not yet clearly bottomed out the signal.

The same time as
In addition, the demand side is also a major factor restricting traders and downstream operations. Has been running to the end of August, although the traditional high season gold nine silver ten, some chemical products will appear a new round of rising prices, but for maleic anhydride, the downstream resin factory since the first half since the environmental factors suppressed significantly, operating rate continued to maintain Low load, Shandong, North China, and Changzhou, Jiangsu Province, security, environmental factors are more important, so the demand is difficult to upgrade short. Especially in North China is facing the upcoming nineteenth, environmental factors for the resin is still more serious, so the demand is difficult to upgrade under the fear of continue to control maleic anhydride plant and traders operating.

Third, the market outlook forecast

Chen Lin said: Overall, the domestic supply and demand of maleic anhydride is still an imbalance, although the supply of local supply is limited, but the overall supply and demand point of view, for the maleic anhydride price index is still weak, Even if the market stabilized, if the supply side no significant changes in the price rebound also has resistance. Short-term domestic maleic anhydride market vulnerable, there is still down risk.

Environmental protection supervision of a wave of ups and downs, August 7 afternoon, the central environmental protection inspectors stationed in Sichuan Province, which opened the fourth round of the central environmental protection inspectors prelude. This time there will be Jilin, Zhejiang, Shandong, Hainan, Sichuan, Tibet, Qinghai, Xinjiang (including Corps) 8 places in the 7 to 15 days of the week, one after another ushered in the central inspection team stationed, Month, and by the end of September, that is, the end of the fourth batch of central environmental protection inspectors stationed at the end of the central level of environmental inspectors will also be completed in 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) inspectors full coverage.

In addition to the central environmental protection supervision, the Ministry of Environmental Protection and the local environmental protection bureau as the main environmental protection special inspection is also carried out in the same period, the central environmental protection supervision and environmental protection department to form a complementary inspection. Including the first quarter of 2017 air quality special inspection, Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and the surrounding areas to strengthen supervision and control of air pollution, cement glass industry to eliminate backward production capacity and other special inspection. The industry believes that the strict supervision of environmental protection will have a two-phase impact, the first stage shut down the limited production, the main impact of steel, electrolytic aluminum, chemicals, cement, coal, glass and other industries; the second stage of discharge, Industry for the field of air, clean energy, water treatment, solid waste areas and monitoring areas.

On the domestic protopine market, by the direct impact of environmental protection, pre-Shandong due to environmental impact, most of the alkali plant manufacturers parking transformation, and Inner Mongolia region due to environmental impact, some small enterprises have been discontinued or cut production, and equipment maintenance Enterprises are more, the market supply substantially reduced, seeking more than for the phenomenon more and more obvious, resulting in the price of lead-alkali prices rise, the regional price of another record high. As of early August, Shandong region 99% of the mainstream price of raw materials in the 4200-4250 yuan / ton, Inner Mongolia 99% protopine mainstream prices in the 3900-3950 yuan / ton, Xinjiang, 99% of the mainstream price of the mainstream in 3800 -3850 yuan / ton, Ningxia 99% protopine mainstream prices in the 3900-3950 yuan / ton.

However, the good times are not long, just a short period of one week, the domestic protopine market appeared to fall significantly, Inner Mongolia transaction price down 100-150 yuan / ton, 99% protopine mainstream factory in the 3750-3800 yuan / ton; Shandong The regional decline is not large, the current 99% of the mainstream base of the factory in the 4150-4200 yuan / ton; Ningxia 99% of the mainstream base of the factory in the 3750-3800 yuan / ton, down 150 yuan / ton, the domestic protopine market Down, the reason is also due to environmental protection.

The environmental protection inspection mainly for Zhejiang, Shandong, Xinjiang and other regions, paper, alumina and printing and dyeing as the base of the larger downstream industry is also immune from the distribution of various industries, the eastern region is still China’s paper industry The main production areas, but affected by environmental impact, the recent paper industry operating rate has been reduced, leading to weak demand side, the market trading atmosphere is poor; alumina as the main downstream of the main consumer industry, the market trend of good and bad, It is undoubtedly closely related to the downstream alumina industry, but also because of environmental impact, in some areas significantly lower operating load of alumina enterprises, the overall procurement situation in general, the latter is difficult to form a strong support for the protopine market; and domestic dye production is highly concentrated in Zhejiang, according to public Data show that the annual output of disperse dyes up to 440,000 tons / year, accounting for 80% of the country; reactive dye production capacity of 175,000 tons / year, accounting for about 38% of the country, but affected by this environmental impact, some small and medium- Due to environmental protection and safety issues have been discontinued, resulting in a significant reduction in demand for caustic soda, so look, protopine market Mainly due to the potential impact of environmental policies majority.

In the short term, the overall operation of the Alkali Enterprise is normal and the supply of the market will continue to increase, while the downstream industry will continue to be affected by the environmental impact. There is still the possibility of shrinkage in the procurement and the market will wait and see , The base of the enterprise stocks gradually improved, but the transaction situation is difficult, the market will continue to show the performance of the auction, the more obvious factors in the negative factors, the market is expected to rule out the possibility of re-dropping may be, but the late trend, But also should pay more attention to environmental protection on the downstream industry and the specific impact of the alkali industry.