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This week, the maleic anhydride market has maintained a steady consolidation trend (1.14-1.18)

Price Trend

Business associations: This week, the maleic anhydride market maintained a steady consolidation trend (1.14-1.18)

PVA 1799 (PVA BF17)

According to data from business associations, the average price of maleic anhydride offer by the end of the weekend was 7,100.00 yuan/ton (including tax), and the offer was steadily rising.

II. Market Analysis

Product: This week, the domestic maleic anhydride market as a whole showed a steady trend of rising.

Industry chain: First of all, the domestic unsaturated resin start-up rate has decreased this week, the main intention of replenishment before the Spring Festival is cautious, but the short-term periphery is good, the domestic maleic anhydride market maintains high and strong; secondly, the focus of maleic anhydride factory quotation in mainstream areas is explored. Due to the support of crude oil production reduction, the performance of peripheral news is still acceptable, the price of raw material n-butane is stable, the cost pressure of the plant is supported, and the selling quotation is slightly increased. The price of maleic anhydride has been loosened due to the rise of pure benzene. However, in the short term, the profit margins of maleic anhydride from benzene and butane processes are difficult to improve; finally, the demand of downstream terminals is not good, and the factories are mainly on the lookout.

3. Future Market Forecast

At present, domestic maleic anhydride market profit has not changed much. It is expected that the overall market will continue to consolidate next week. Individual small rises, or the overall price will be the same as this week, according to the analyst of maleic anhydride products of Business Society Chemical Branch.

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China’s domestic price trend of p-xylene was temporarily stable on Jan. 11

On January 10, the PX commodity index was 64.80, which was the same as yesterday. It was 36.72% lower than the peak of 102.40 points in the cycle (2013-02-28), and 42.26% higher than the low of 45.55 points on February 15, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2013-02-01 to date).

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Recently, the domestic market price trend of p-xylene has been temporarily stable. Pengzhou Petrochemical Unit has been running steadily. Urumqi Petrochemical Unit has started 50% of its operation. Fuhaichuang Aromatic Hydrocarbon Unit has been in shutdown. Other units have been running steadily for the time being. The domestic market supply of p-xylene is normal. The market price trend of p-xylene is temporarily stable. The opening rate of PX plant in Asia is less than 70%. The closing price of PX plant in Asia increased by 16 US dollars per ton on January 10. The closing price was US$1038-1040 per ton FOB in Korea and US$1058-1060 per ton CFR in China. More than 50% of PX plant in China need to be imported. The rise of foreign price has a positive impact on domestic market price of paraxylene, and the intra-site price maintained 8,100 yuan per ton.

On January 10, the price of WTI crude oil in February rose to 52.59 U.S. dollars per barrel, an increase of 0.23 U.S. dollars. Brent crude oil in March rose to 61.68 U.S. dollars per barrel, an increase of 0.24 U.S. dollars. Crude oil closing price rose slightly, which supported the price of downstream petrochemical products. The price trend of paraxylene market was temporarily stable. Recent textile industry prices have risen, downstream PTA market prices have risen slightly, PTA prices have recently risen slightly. The average offer price in East China is raised near 6400-6600 yuan/ton. As of the 10th day, domestic PTA start-up rate is about 77%, polyester industry start-up rate is about 82%. In addition, the market price of upstream production and marketing is generally lower, PTA market price is expected to rise slightly in the later period.

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Chemical fertilizer export tariffs canceled, the highest province 600 yuan / ton

According to the news of the Ministry of Finance, the State Council’s Customs Tariff Commission passed the review and submitted to the State Council for approval. The “2019 Provisional Tax Rate for Import and Export” (hereinafter referred to as the “Program”) was officially released and will continue from January 1, 2019. Export tariffs are imposed on 108 export commodities such as ferrochrome or the provisional tax rate for export, and the tax rate remains unchanged. 94 commodities such as fertilizer, apatite, iron ore, slag, coal tar and wood pulp are no longer subject to export tariffs.
In recent years, the competition in the fertilizer industry has become increasingly fierce, and the industry’s call for the elimination of export tariffs on fertilizers has never stopped. On December 23, 2016, the Customs Tariff Commission of the State Council promulgated the Notice on the Tariff Adjustment Plan for 2017 (The Taxation Committee [2016] No. 31), which will be implemented from January 1, 2017. The “Program” decided to eliminate export tariffs on fertilizers such as nitrogen fertilizers and phosphate fertilizers, and appropriately reduce the export tariffs on ternary compound fertilizers. On December 15, 2017, the Ministry of Finance announced the contents of the Notice of the Customs Tariff Commission of the State Council on the Tariff Adjustment Program for 2018 (TAC [2017] No. 27). The State Council has decided to properly adjust the export tariffs for phosphate rock and NPK compound fertilizers from January 1, 2018. The import and export tariff policies for other raw materials and other fertilizers will remain at 2017 levels.

Can the elimination of potassium export tariffs help the industry to a new level? Yan Zhaoying, deputy secretary-general of the Chemicals Professional Committee of the China Chemical Industry Association, believes that the introduction of zero tariffs on potash exports is related to the adjustment and change of the potassium resources industry structure. In the mature and stable stage, the ‘zero tariff’ has little effect on the domestic potash; the second is to build up its own potash base in the country with rich potassium resources for the potash fertilizer in China, and the potash fertilizer produced by the ‘returning’ domestic potassium chloride market The policy preparation is good; the third is that the domestic processing potassium sulfate, potassium nitrate, granular potassium fertilizer and other potash products are developing rapidly, and the market share, voice and competitiveness in the international market are improved.” Yan Zhaoying said.

Zhao, director of the marketing department of Lubon Industry Co., Ltd., believes that there are many domestic fertilizer production enterprises, but there are not many large-scale enterprises, and the production cost is higher than that of foreign countries. Before the integration of fertilizer industry is completed, zero tariffs will increase fertilizers to a certain extent. Export market competitiveness, but it is still very difficult to increase export volume in the short term.

According to China Customs data, from January to November 2018, China exported a total of 22.76 million tons of various fertilizers, a decrease of 1.5% year-on-year; the cumulative export value was 6.557 billion US dollars, an increase of 17.8%. The cumulative export of urea was 1.8 million tons, down 55% year-on-year; the total export of diammonium phosphate was 7.1 million tons, an increase of 18.7%.

According to the analysis of domestic potash traders, the export tariffs of potash fertilizer (including potassium fertilizer) will be cancelled. Domestic potassium sulfate will have stronger competitiveness in the world. The operating rate of processed potassium sulfate will increase and drive domestic potassium chloride price. rise.

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