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November 13 acrylic acid market is stable temporarily

I. price trend of acrylic acid:

 

PVA 1788 (PVA BP17)

The average price of acrylic acid as of November 13 was 6900 yuan / ton, which was the same as that of December 12. The market was stable temporarily, down 10.39% compared with that of October 13, according to the bulk list of business agencies. On the 13th, the main price of acrylic acid in China was 6800-7000 yuan / ton.

 

II. Market analysis:

 

Product: acrylic acid market run smoothly on the 13th. The supply side of acrylic acid market is acceptable, the downstream construction load has not improved, the consumption of demand side is general, the manufacturer’s operation enthusiasm is not high, and the delivery and investment side is light. As of March 13, the price of acrylic acid of Shandong Yukang Chemical Co., Ltd. has been temporarily stable, with 8200 yuan / ton of common acid and 8850 yuan / ton of refined acid. The specific transaction price is determined by the actual contract. The price of acrylic acid of Jinan aochen Chemical Co., Ltd. is 7500 yuan / ton of common acid and 9400 yuan / ton of refined acid. The specific transaction price is determined by the actual contract. The price of acrylic acid of Wanhua chemical and Petrochemical Co., Ltd. has remained stable, mainly for contracts and stable customers. At present, acrylic acid The price is 7000 yuan / ton.

 

PVA 1799 (PVA BF17)

Industrial chain: the market price of upstream propylene in Shandong Province has increased recently. At present, the market turnover is about 7320-7550 yuan / ton, and the mainstream price is 7350 yuan / ton. At present, propylene inventory is low, supply is more tight, downstream purchasing sentiment is good, and crude oil and PP market is still ideal, some prices are still rising. The operation rate of downstream acrylic acid manufacturers is low, and the purchase is just needed. The atmosphere of waiting and watching is strong.

 

3. Future forecast:

 

According to the acrylic analysts of the business community, the price of raw material propylene has increased recently, supporting the cost of acrylic acid. The downstream demand is light, and the market is just in demand. The industry participates cautiously. It is expected that the acrylic acid market will maintain stable operation in the short term.

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China’s domestic acetic acid market is gradually stable

I. price trend

 

According to the bulk data monitoring of the business agency, the domestic acetic acid market has been stable recently. As of November 12, the quotation in Henan is about 2600 / T, in Shandong is about 2700-2850 yuan / T, in Hebei is about 2750-2800 yuan / T, in Shaanxi is about 2250 yuan / T, in Jiangsu is about 2750-2850 yuan / T, in Zhejiang is about 2950-3000 yuan / T, and in Huahua is about 2600-2800 yuan / T The price of delivery in South China is about 3000-3100 yuan / ton.

 

II. Cause analysis

 

PVA 1799 (PVA BF17)

Product: the domestic acetic acid market gradually entered a stable period after continuous decline. Due to the low price of acetic acid for a long time before, the lower market and traders’ bottom reading and replenishment were good, and the inventory of the enterprise decreased, so the quotation of the enterprise gradually stabilized. At present, the industry has a strong wait-and-see mood, and the buying is more cautious.

 

Industrial chain: the methanol market is in a downward shock, and the downstream receiving is relatively limited. Some manufacturers sell at a profit. At present, the price is about 2146 yuan / ton; domestic acetate, vinyl acetate and acetic anhydride industries are gradually stable, but the industry’s trading is limited, and the downstream demand continues to be soft; the orders in the downstream terminal market of PTA market have not improved significantly, and the overall trading is still flat.

 

International: the North American acetic acid market has been in stable operation in the near future, at present, it is about 620 US dollars / ton; the Asian acetic acid market continues to weaken, at present, it is 335-395 US dollars / ton; the European acetic acid price is high and firm, and the current quotation is about 675 euros / ton.

 

PVA 1788 (PVA BP17)

III. future forecast

 

According to the acetic acid analyst of the business association, due to the continuous low price shipment in the early stage, the profit space of domestic acetic acid enterprises has been compressed. Although the overall inventory of the domestic acetic acid market has declined recently and Nanjing Yangzi maintenance Co., Ltd., the operating rate is still at a high level. In addition, the demand end of the downstream market has no obvious signs of improvement, and it is expected that the domestic acetic acid market will continue to operate stably in a short period of time.

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Crude benzene market price fell slightly this week, down 0.32% (11.4-11.8)

I. price trend:

 

On November 8, crude benzene commodity index was 64.70, flat with yesterday, down 50.93% from 131.84 (2013-01-28), the highest point in the cycle, and up 64.84% from 39.25, the lowest point on December 22, 2014. (Note: cycle refers to 2011-09-01 to now).

 

PVA 1799 (PVA BF17)

II. Market analysis:

 

This week (11.4-11.8), the domestic crude benzene market was slightly lower. The average price in the domestic market was 4145 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week and 4131.67 yuan / ton at the end of the week, down 0.32%.

 

Domestic market: the crude benzol Market is slightly lower this week, down by about 100 yuan / ton. As of Friday, Shanxi’s offer is 3850-3950 yuan / ton, and Shandong’s offer is 4150-4200 yuan / ton. Affected by the decline of pure benzene expatriates before the rise, the transaction in the spot market of pure benzene this week was limited, which put pressure on the crude benzene market. The bidding price in the main production areas rose and fell in half this week, and the price fluctuated slightly. Although coking enterprises have strong strong strong price sentiment, but the operating rate of downstream hydrogenated benzene enterprises has declined, with limited support for crude benzene.

 

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Industrial chain: crude oil: pure benzene: this week, the atmosphere of pure benzene negotiation in East China is stronger, driving the market to be better. This week, the spot supply of pure benzene market was tight and the source of goods was concentrated. The port inventory continued to be less than 100000 tons, and the price of pure benzene was supported higher.

 

3. Trend forecast:

 

Next week, the favorable macro environment will provide support for the oil price. The supply pressure of pure benzene is high, and the price has some support. However, the weak downstream demand, coupled with the low demand for replenishment at the beginning of the month, the lack of sustained upward momentum in the market, and insufficient market support, the crude benzene industry chain will be dominated by weak shocks in the short term.

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The China domestic market price of n-butanol continued to decline this week (11.4-11.8)

I. price trend

 

According to the data monitoring of business agency, as of Friday (November 8) this week, the average price of n-butanol in the mainstream region was 6116.67 yuan / ton (including tax), and the price in the mainstream region continued to fall by 1.61% compared with that on Friday (November 8). At present, the main quotation of n-butanol in China is about 6150-6600 yuan / ton.

 

PVA 1799 (PVA BF17)

II. Market analysis

 

Product: the n-butanol market continued to run weak this week. At the beginning of this week, the negotiation atmosphere of the n-butanol market was light, the market focus appeared a slow downward trend, and the new orders in the market were not smooth. In the middle of the week, the center of gravity of the n-butanol market fell, a small amount of goods in the northwest region were released, spot transactions in Shandong market were cold, coupled with the increase of the load of the n-butanol unit of the large factory, the shipping pressure of the large factory in Shandong increased, the pressure of the market supply was increased, the downstream market was also weak, the raw material procurement maintained rigid demand, waiting for the profit of the upstream factory, and then the Shandong market fell. East China’s market was weak, and the focus of negotiations fell with Shandong. At present, the overall supply of n-butanol market has recovered, the inventory of large factories has been gradually accumulated, and the market negative impact has been expanded. The market as a whole is still bearish and weak As of November 8, the quotation of Wanhua Chemical Co., Ltd. this week is relatively stable, with a slight adjustment of 100 yuan / ton compared with the quotation at the beginning of the week at the weekend. At present, the ex factory quotation of Wanhua in North China is 6100 yuan / ton, the ex warehouse quotation of East China is 6350 yuan / ton, and the ex warehouse quotation of South China is 6600 yuan / ton.

 

PVA 1788 (PVA BP17)

Industry chain: the overall price of propylene market has increased in this week’s stability. As of November 7, the current market turnover is about 7230-7500 yuan / ton, and the mainstream price is 7300 yuan / ton. At present, the external supply of goods is not fully recovered, and the crude oil and PP market is still ideal, and propylene shipments are smooth, but the upward speed is relatively fast in the short term, so it is expected that the market price of propylene will remain stable and stable in recent days.

 

III. future forecast

 

According to the analysis of the data analyst of the business club, it is expected that the market of n-butanol will be affected by the demand of downstream butyl and other products, as well as the cautious attitude of customers, and the focus may continue to be explored in the short term.

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Market situation of cyclohexanone encounters “Waterloo”

I. price trend

 

According to the monitoring data of business agency, as of November 7, the latest price of cyclohexanone in China was 7366 yuan / ton, down 18.60% month on month and 42.82% year on year. The market of cyclohexanone in China is weak.

 

PVA 1799 (PVA BF17)

II. Market analysis

 

Products: at present, domestic cyclohexanone manufacturers have made it clear that there are not many offers. The shipping level of enterprises is around 7600-7800 yuan / ton. Most of them supply supporting downstream production demand, and the inventory level is low. The market of cyclohexanone in South China is weak. The price is 7800-7900 yuan / ton for negotiation. The demand for solvent procurement in the downstream is weak, and the intention tends to be near the low end. The supply of goods in the site is general, and the optimism is insufficient. The market of cyclohexanone in East China is relatively weak, and the negotiation reference is 7800-7900 yuan / ton. The main purchase intention tends to be low-end or lower, the trading atmosphere is relatively weak, the downstream enterprises mainly purchase on demand, and the upstream small rebound has certain support.

 

Industrial chain: pure benzene: Asian pure benzene Market: in January, the intention of sales is 638-647 USD / ton FOB South Korea. Domestic pure benzene Market: the pure benzene Market in East China continues to rise, and the external market has been uplifted. The negotiation reference is 5350-5450 yuan / ton, some of the sales are slightly higher, and the far monthly negotiation is 5150-5200 yuan / ton, with a certain support for inventory decline.

 

PVA 1788 (PVA BP17)

Caprolactam: the US dollar market of caprolactam has been kept in order, the offers of merchants have been temporarily stable, the inquiry atmosphere of downstream factories is light, there are not many actual orders in the market, and the main market negotiation reference is 1330-1350 US dollars / ton. The caprolactam liquid market maintained consolidation, and the main real single negotiated price in East China market was 11300-11400 yuan / ton (delivered by acceptance within 6 months), stable. Caprolactam business offer is temporarily stable, the focus of market negotiation is low-end. Downstream just need to buy mainly, the market trading atmosphere is light.

 

III. future forecast

 

On the positive side, the price of pure benzene rose. On the negative side, the demand for solvent is insufficient; the price of enterprise is low. The supporting role of the upstream rise is reflected in a certain extent. The weakness of the downstream limits the rebound. According to the forecast of the cyclohexanone analysts of the business society, the short-term domestic market of cyclohexanone is dominated by consolidation.

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