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Summary of PX statistics in 2019

1、21.18%

 

According to the monitoring of the business agency, PX price dropped by 21.18% in 2019, 8500 yuan / ton at the beginning of the year, 6700 yuan / ton at the end of the year, and 21.18% in the whole year. In 2019, the lowest price of PX is 6600 yuan / ton on September 3, and the highest price is 9000 yuan / ton on March 12, with a maximum amplitude of 36.36%.

 

2. US $10 / ton

 

The profit of PX products in 2019 dropped sharply, with the annual profit of 10, the highest profit in April was 240 USD / T, the lowest profit in November was – 70 USD / T, but the annual average profit was about 10 USD / T, significantly lower than that in 2018, and the high profit was mainly concentrated in the period from January to April.

 

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3. 20.365 million tons

 

In 2019, the domestic PX capacity will be up to 20.365 million tons. In 2019, the domestic refining and chemical plant in Hainan will increase by 1 million tons, the new capacity of Hongrun chemical will be 600000 tons, and the new capacity of Hengli petrochemical plant will be 4.5 million tons. The capacity of other units will not change, but the domestic production will only be about 15 million tons.

 

4. 70%

 

In 2019, the overall operation rate of PX in China will be about 7.30%, Fuhai will start an 800000 ton production line for 1.6 million ton plant, Urumqi petrochemical plant will start at 50%, Hainan refining and chemical plant phase II will be put into operation in October, Hengli Petrochemical will start a 2.25 million ton plant, and the overall operation rate of PX in China will be at a low level of 7.30%.

 

5、48%

 

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In 2019, the domestic PX dependence on foreign countries dropped to 48%. According to the statistics, the total PX import in 2019 was about 14 million tons, the domestic output was about 15 million tons, and the dependence on foreign countries was still as high as 48%. However, 2019 was a year when the PX dependence on foreign countries declined.

 

6. 55.805 million tons

 

According to statistics, the total capacity of PX in Asia is 55.805 million tons, including 2011.5 million tons in China, 9.95 million tons in South Korea, 3.89 million tons in Japan, 5.68 million tons in India, and 70% of PX products from Japan and South Korea are exported to China.

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Cryolite market weak this week (12.9-12.13)

I. price trend

 

According to the data of the business club’s large scale list, the market price trend of cryolite in this week is down. The average market price at the beginning of the week is about 6100.00 yuan / ton, and the average market price at the end of the week is about 5900.00 yuan / ton. The price is down 200 yuan / ton, down 3.28%, 8.29% year-on-year.

 

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II. Market analysis

 

Product: this week, the price trend of cryolite fell. Cryolite enterprises had sufficient inventory and fair transactions. The quotation of manufacturers in Henan Province was mainly stable, and the quotation of individual enterprises was reduced. The main reason is that the market competition pressure of enterprises is great, and the price of purchasers is low, and they tend to purchase at low prices. As of the 13th, the price of cryolite in Shandong Province has been temporarily stable, with the ex factory quotation of 6500-6950 yuan / ton; the ex factory quotation of cryolite in Henan Province has been lowered, with the market price of 4800-6500 yuan / ton. At present, the price of cryolite of Zhengzhou Zerun Energy Chemical Co., Ltd. is 4800 yuan / ton; that of Jiaozuo Minli industry is 6500 yuan / ton; that of Zhengzhou Tianrui crystal technology is 6400 yuan / ton.

 

Industry chain: the price trend of fluorite in the upstream of cryolite is stable this week. The average price of domestic market at the weekend is about 2883.33 yuan / ton, which is flat compared with the beginning of the week. In recent years, the price trend of fluorite in China has been fluctuating, with little change in price. The market for goods in the market is general, and the downstream is purchased on demand. The spot supply of fluorite is normal. In the downstream aluminum industry, the aluminum price this week shows the trend of “roller coaster”. The average market price at the beginning of the week is 14080.00 yuan / ton, and at the end of the week is 14023.33 yuan / ton, down 156.67 yuan / ton. The price in the week is down 0.40%, and the overall price has little change. Since the start of heating in winter, due to the production policy of environmental protection industry, the aluminum output may be reduced, and the upstream cryolite industry will also be affected.

 

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III. future forecast

 

According to the cryolite product analyst of the business association, at present, the quotation of cryolite market is multi-dimensional and stable, the manufacturer’s devices are in normal operation, the inventory is sufficient, and the shipment is acceptable. When the supply exceeds the demand, the enterprise’s competitive pressure is obvious, and the downstream purchase tends to be low, on the other hand, the upstream raw material impact also exists. It is expected that the cryolite market will be stable and sorted in the later stage, with specific attention to market demand.

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Refrigerant R22 price runs smoothly this week (12.09-12.13)

I. price trend

 

According to the price monitoring of the business agency, the factory price of domestic refrigerant R22 this week ran smoothly. On December 9, the average price of mainstream manufacturers was 17100 yuan / ton, and on the weekend (13 days), 17100 yuan / ton. This week’s market was stable. On December 15, the R22 commodity index was 102.60, which was the same as yesterday, a new record in the cycle, 23.02% higher than 83.40, the lowest point on October 14, 2019. (Note: cycle refers to 2019-09-01 till now)

 

II. Market analysis

 

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Product: market price of R22 in refrigerant market is stable this week. At the end of the year, the quota of refrigerant R22 was gone, and the market was out of stock. Most manufacturers basically did not receive new orders. They mainly supply orders, and the price was high and stable. Hydrofluoric acid at the raw material end rose this week, with strong cost side and no improvement in refrigerant R22 demand at the terminal. The transaction price of bulk water market of traders is chaotic, and the supply of goods in their hands is tight. According to the data monitoring of Italian society, as of December 16, the average price of refrigerant R22 was 17100 yuan / ton, and the quotation was mostly concentrated in the range of 14500 yuan / ton to 18800 yuan / ton. The trend of refrigerant R22 was stable.

 

Industry chain: the price trend of domestic hydrofluoric acid and hydrofluoric acid of upstream products is rising. In the near future, the factory in the field is generally in good condition, and the spot supply in the field is normal. The price of domestic trichloromethane of upstream products fell. Due to the shortage of supply in the early stage, the supply in the industry is still tight at present. In addition, the supply of trichloromethane in Shandong Province is gradually recovering. Under the condition that the supply exceeds the demand, the price of trichloromethane is expected to gradually drop. The downstream market’s receiving intention is flat, and the industry’s trading is slightly light. The terminal air conditioner manufacturer starts at a low level and the demand is flat.

 

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Industry: according to the price monitoring of the business agency, in the 49th week of 2019 (12.9-12.13), there are 24 kinds of commodities rising month on month in the chemical industry sector, including 4 kinds of commodities rising by more than 5%, accounting for 4.7% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top three commodities are glycol (17.59%), crude benzene (7.07%) and aniline (6.81%). There are 28 commodities with a decline of more than 5% on a month on month basis, accounting for 1.2% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top three products with a decline are hydrochloric acid (- 6.41%), chloroform (- 4.55%), and bisphenol A (- 3.62%). This week’s average was 0.07%.

 

III. future forecast

 

According to the refrigerant analyst of the business club, the quota of R22 enterprise is no longer available, and there is a shortage of goods. Most manufacturers do not accept new orders, mainly supply orders, and the price is high and stable. It is expected that R22 will run smoothly in the short term.

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Sulfuric acid prices in Shandong fell slightly this week (12.9-12.13)

I. price trend

 

According to the price monitoring of the business agency, the selling price of sulfuric acid in Shandong fell slightly this week. The quotation dropped from 280.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 273.33 yuan / ton at the end of the week, down 2.38%, down 25.46% year on year. Overall, the sulfuric acid market fell slightly this week, with the sulfuric acid commodity index at 42.54 on December 13

 

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II. Market analysis

 

(I) products:

 

This week, the price of the mainstream sulfuric acid manufacturers in Shandong Province fell slightly, the inventory of manufacturers was small, and the downstream demand was general. The weekend quotation of Heze Jiangyuan is 240 yuan / ton, which is slightly lower than that at the beginning of the week, with a decrease of 20 yuan / ton; the weekend quotation of Zouping Tianlu is 130 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week; the weekend quotation of Jinan Yuanfei is 450 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable.

 

(II) industrial chain:

 

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In recent years, the domestic sulfur market has declined slightly. The trading atmosphere in the downstream monoammonium market is not good, the trading volume is light, and the trading volume of new orders is not ideal. The market of diammonium is also low and consolidated, and the downstream demand is less. Sulfuric acid enterprises often issue early orders, short-term construction is insufficient, and the supply is slightly tight. This week, the domestic sulfuric acid plants operated smoothly, the market supply was relatively tight, the downstream gas buying was general, and the market turnover was limited.

 

III. future forecast

 

After the adjustment in November, the capital return of each plant is in good condition, the equipment maintenance is completed, and the production capacity is increased. The upstream sulfur price fell, the downstream construction was general, and the product trend fell under the contradiction between supply and demand. According to analysts of business association sulfuric acid, under the influence of supply and demand and raw materials, the market position of sulfuric acid is mainly consolidated.

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December 12 domestic bisphenol A Market Digest

I. price trend

 

According to the data monitored by the business agency, on December 12, the comprehensive price of bisphenol A was 9750.00 yuan / ton. The market of bisphenol A in East China watched carefully. The downstream demand was general, and the reference price range was 9700-9800 yuan / ton.

 

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II. Cause analysis

 

Products: the domestic bisphenol a market is in shock operation, the downstream procurement is not active, the arrangement is rigid, the negotiation focus is low, and the transaction atmosphere is general. Lihua yiweiyuan 9500 yuan / ton, East China 9750 yuan / ton, South China 10100 yuan / ton, North China 9650 yuan / ton, Shanghai Shangqi International Trade Co., Ltd. 9700 yuan / ton, Huangshan Jiaxin industry and Trade Co., Ltd. 9850 yuan / ton,

 

Industry chain: the upstream phenol price is firm, the cost is well supported, the downstream just needs to be purchased, mainly digested and sorted.

 

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On December 11, the chemical industry index was 736, up 1 point compared with yesterday, down 27.56% compared with the highest point 1016 (2012-03-13) in the cycle, and up 22.67% compared with the lowest point 600 on January 31, 2016. (Note: cycle refers to 2011-12-01 to now)

 

 

III. future forecast

 

Bisphenol A analysts think: in the short term, bisphenol a market will be reorganized and operated.

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