The domestic methanol market is rising, and some manufacturers have raised their ex factory quotations by 50-80 yuan / ton. According to the monitoring data of business agency, the average price of methanol producers in Shandong was 2107 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week, and 2130 yuan / ton at the weekend, with an increase of 1.07% during the week, a rise of 1.43% on a month on month basis and a rise of 0.24% on a year-on-year basis.

 

As of December 11, summary of methanol market prices in different regions:

 

Region, price,

Qinghai Area/

1940-1960 yuan / t spot exchange in Shanxi

RMB 1970-2000 / T in Liaoning

2400 yuan / ton, tax included tank discharge in Fujian area

Reference: 2140-2180 yuan / ton

Acceptance and delivery of 2250-2280 yuan / ton in Anhui Province

In Henan Province, the transaction price was 2065-2070 yuan / ton

This week, the domestic methanol market as a whole is relatively strong, and the prices in the mainland and ports have increased in different ways. Among them, the mainland market is affected by the gas restriction in Southwest China and the maintenance of some devices. The market atmosphere is good, and the upstream shipment is smooth. Some enterprises have stopped selling or limited sales to ensure long-term supply.

 

On the external side, as of December 10, the closing price of CFR China methanol was 271.50-272.50 US dollars / ton, up 5 dollars / ton; CFR Southeast Asia methanol closing price was 302.50-303.50 dollars / ton. The U.S. Gulf methanol closed at 117.75-118.25 cents / gallon; FOB Rotterdam methanol closed at 334.50-335.50 euro / ton, up 10 euro / ton.

 

From the perspective of the future market, on the positive side, some enterprises in Southwest China have shut down or reduced production load; some enterprises have stopped selling or restricted sales, and the supply side has been tightened; the trend of coal and natural gas is stronger, and the methanol cost side is better supported. On the negative side, under the influence of low temperature, some formaldehyde enterprises started to reduce their production, and the overall demand was general; Ningbo Fude 600000 T / a DMTO plant had a maintenance plan in January, and the olefin demand declined in the later stage; the downstream still had a mentality of resistance to high prices, and the mentality of the middle and lower reaches was weak. Business community methanol analysts predict that the short-term domestic methanol market behavior.

PVA

According to the data monitored by the business agency, as of December 10, the average price of domestic rubber grade white carbon black was 4733.33 yuan / ton, the market was running smoothly, the downstream just needed to purchase, the price was slightly reduced, the overall supply and demand of the market was balanced, showing a weak operation, the purchasing atmosphere was flat, most of the contract customers were contract customers, the quotation range was maintained between 4000-5000 yuan / ton, the shipment was smooth, and the inventory was full Foot.

 

The domestic rubber grade silica market has a stable trend. At present, the shipment is smooth, the negotiation atmosphere is general, and the demand is not good. The downstream just needs to purchase, and the merchants take the goods carefully, and the shipment is slow. At present, the price of fumed silica is about 22000 yuan / ton. The domestic supply and demand of fumed silica are balanced, and the shipment is slow. The Changtai micro nano factory in Shouguang City, Shandong Province, 5300 yuan / ton, Shandong Lihua new materials Co., Ltd Ltd. 4700 yuan / ton, Boai County Xiangsheng silicon powder Co., Ltd. 4200 yuan / ton.

 

In the upstream hydrochloric acid market, the manufacturer’s quotation is stable temporarily, the supply side is normal, the purchasing enthusiasm is general, the market maintains a stable trend, the quotation is mainly stable, the trading atmosphere maintains the early level, and the hydrochloric acid market mainly operates stably in the short term.

 

The chemical index on December 9 was 854 points, up 1 point compared with yesterday, 15.94% lower than 1016 points (2012-03-13), and 42.81% higher than 598 points, the lowest point on April 8, 2020. (Note: period refers to 2011-12-01 to now)

 

White carbon black analysts believe that: in the short term, the silica market maintains a stable operation situation, and the price fluctuation range is limited. (the above prices are provided by major silica manufacturers all over the country and sorted out and analyzed by business silica analysts for reference only. Please contact relevant manufacturers for more price details.)

PVA

1、 Price trend

 

PS market generally fell, with a range of 200-1250 yuan / ton. In the East China market, the price of benzene permeation was 9700-14100 yuan / ton, with a decrease of 300 yuan / ton in the low-end market and 400 yuan / ton in the high-end market. Styrene in East China rose 115 yuan / ton to 8240 yuan / ton on a month on month basis. Affected by the mood of “buying up but not buying down”, the small and medium-sized downstream insisted on just in demand purchasing, and the market buying was weak.

 

2、 Market analysis

 

Zhanjiang Sino US PS ex factory price, 525 quotation is 10100 yuan / T. The ex factory price of CITIC Guoan PS is 10300 yuan / T. Upstream styrene rise after the impact of fall, PS bulk cargo negotiation center of gravity again down, East China agent offer high.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

Short term PS market or continue to weak trend, the trend is affected by profit taking operation. Although PS operating rate decreased, due to slow delivery, PS inventory pressure increased. The short-term market is still affected by the price reduction of the profit plate, and the price may be adjusted again. It is estimated that the benzene permeation rate in East China market will be 9500-14000 yuan / ton.

PVA

Crude oil prices rose slightly, domestic refined oil prices rose for two consecutive times, gasoline market prices rose slightly, and MTBE market prices followed. The price of MTBE on December 4 was 3900 yuan / ton, up 2.63% from the beginning of the week, according to business agency data.

 

This week, international oil prices rose slightly, WTI crude oil prices rose 1.60%, Brent crude oil prices rose 2.95%. In addition, the domestic demand for refined oil is supported by the rising of terminal oil price and the demand of refined oil. Downstream of MTBE and other intermediate materials purchase intention is positive, MTBE manufacturers actively push up, market transaction atmosphere is good. In the short term, the overall start-up load of domestic MTBE units will still be at a low level, and tight supply will also support the market price.

 

MTBE product analysts of energy branch of business cooperatives believe that: the demand of refined oil market remains rigid. In the short term, the market price of refined oil continues to be weak, and the purchasing enthusiasm of downstream for MTBE and other intermediate materials is slow. It is expected that domestic MTBE prices will recover steadily in the short term.

PVA

According to the sample data monitored by the business agency, the domestic ethanol market price was 6925 yuan / ton on November 30, and 6887 yuan / ton on December 4, with a decrease of 0.54% during the week, a rise of 0.36% on a month on month basis and a rise of 25.68% on the same period.

 

PVA 1799 (PVA BF17)

In terms of regional market conditions, the ethanol market in Northeast China is high; the ethanol market in East China and Shandong is up; the ethanol market in Henan is stable; the molasses ethanol market in Guangxi is strong; the ethanol market in Guangdong is slowly pulling up; the ethanol market in Anhui is on the sideline; the ethanol market in Sichuan is stable; and the ethanol market in Yunnan is in operation.

 

From the perspective of raw corn, after the rain and snow, grain prices in Northeast China rose again, and the domestic corn market as a whole entered the stage of long space game. From the demand point of view, the demand of downstream liquor was mainly rigid demand procurement. In terms of ethyl acetate, the price of acetic acid raw materials rose sharply, resulting in low load operation of ethyl acetate enterprises, which had a significant negative impact on the demand for ethanol.

 

The latest price trends of ethanol market in different regions:

Region, category, price

Corn alcohol in Sichuan is about 7500-7600 yuan / ton, including tax

Molasses alcohol in Yunnan Province: 6750 yuan / ton

Cassava alcohol 7000 yuan / ton in Yunnan

General grade of corn alcohol in Heilongjiang Province: 6450-6600 yuan / ton, tax included

Honey alcohol in Guangxi: 7100 yuan / ton

Guangxi cassava alcohol 7150 yuan / ton yuan / ton

Absolute ethanol in Guangxi: 7880 yuan / ton

In Guangdong, cassava alcohol is about 7150-7250 yuan / ton

Anhydrous cassava ethanol in Guangdong Province is about 7950-8050 yuan / ton

Henan Province excellent grade: 6850-6900 yuan / ton, tax included

Anhydrous ethanol in Henan Province: 7350-7450 yuan / ton

Shandong area: 6850 yuan / ton

Excellent grade 7300-7400 yuan / ton in Shandong Province

No water in Shandong Province: 7400-7450 yuan / ton

General grade 6800-6900 yuan / ton in southern Jiangsu

In southern Jiangsu Province, no water: 7350-7450 yuan / ton

In Anhui Province, corn is about 7000-7150 yuan / ton

Cassava in Anhui Province is about 6900 yuan / ton

Anhydrous water in Anhui Province is about 7650 yuan / ton

At present, the price of ethanol market is still at a high level, but the downstream demand is relatively stable. In the short term, the domestic ethanol market is expected to be stable.

PVA