1、 Price trend

According to the bulk list data of business society, the average ex factory price of 55% powdered monoammonium was 3100 yuan / ton on February 7 and 3100 yuan / ton on February 11. The price of monoammonium phosphate was stable this week.

According to the bulk list data of business society, the average ex factory price of 64% diammonium phosphate was 3595 yuan / ton on February 7 and 3620 yuan / ton on February 11. The price of diammonium phosphate rose by 0.70% this week.

2、 Market analysis

The market of monoammonium phosphate is generally stable this week. The raw materials are stable and good, and the cost support is good. There was a strong wait-and-see atmosphere in the venue, the waiting volume of enterprises was sufficient, and the manufacturers had the intention to raise prices. At present, the ex factory quotation of 55% powdered ammonium in Anhui is 3150-3300 yuan / ton, and the ex factory quotation of 55% powdered ammonium in Henan is about 2800-2900 yuan / ton. The actual transaction is negotiated.

This week, the market of diammonium phosphate is advancing steadily. At present, due to the sufficient previous orders, most enterprises suspend receiving orders and do not receive payment temporarily, and mainly issue previous orders. The winter storage market is developing well, and the purchasing atmosphere in Northeast China is good. The mainstream factory quotation of 64% diammonium in Hubei is 3550-3650 yuan / ton, and the arrival quotation of 64% diammonium in Heilongjiang in Yunnan Guizhou is 3750-3850 yuan / ton. The actual transaction is negotiated.

This week, the domestic market of raw phosphorus ore was sorted and operated at a high level. After the end of the Spring Festival holiday, the domestic phosphorus ore market maintained a temporary stable operation trend before the festival. The downstream mainly digested the early inventory, and the demand side was general. In terms of supply, the on-site commencement was gradually carried out, the supply pressure was small, and the quotations of mining enterprises were mostly high and stable. The price of raw sulfur rose this week, there was no pressure on the inventory of domestic sulfur refineries, the shipment of enterprises was smooth, and the sulfur market was strong.

3、 Future forecast

The ammonium phosphate analyst of business society believes that at present, due to the high cost and price of ammonium phosphate, the manufacturers have strong intention to increase, so they mainly wait and see for the time being. Ammonium phosphate has sufficient orders and good winter storage market. It is expected that the market of ammonium phosphate will run steadily and well in the short term.

On February 10, 2022, the domestic crude benzene price was 6339 yuan / ton, up from the previous day.

Basically, the prices of pure benzene and crude oil rose after the festival. Sinopec raised the ex factory price of pure benzene to 8100 yuan / ton. Although the crude oil price rebounded slightly near the weekend, the overall industrial chain is still upward. The price of hydrogenated benzene increased with pure benzene. At present, the mainstream ex factory price is 8100 yuan / ton. The bidding price of crude benzene was introduced this week, which was significantly higher than that of last week. The price of crude benzene in Shandong was 6580 ~ 6585 yuan / ton, which was 370 yuan / ton higher than that of last week. Crude oil rebounded slightly yesterday, styrene prices continued to fall on the 10th, and pure benzene weakened slightly with styrene. Today, the mainstream price of domestic pure benzene is 8050-8450 yuan / ton.

Trade name: caprolactam

Latest price: 14125 yuan / ton

Key points of analysis: the price of caprolactam rose on February 9, up 0.36% compared with the previous trading day. At present, the raw material pure benzene has a strong high level and good cost support. Today, the trading atmosphere of caprolactam was good, the manufacturer’s supply was stable, the downstream procurement began to follow up, and the overall market situation was strong. It is recommended to focus on cost and demand side changes.

Future forecast: the price of caprolactam will rise steadily in the short term.

Trade name: sulfur

Latest price (February 8): 2170.00 yuan / ton

Key points of analysis: according to the price monitoring of business agency, the price of sulfur in East China today increased by 0.93% compared with yesterday, and the domestic sulfur market rose strongly. Refineries in various regions adjusted their quotations according to their shipment and inventory. The price rise of solid-liquid sulfur was different. Except for the large rise of solid-liquid sulfur in North China, the rise of domestic solid sulfur was small, and the price of liquid sulfur rose sharply, In North China, the fixed sulfur is increased by 250 yuan / ton, and the liquid sulfur is increased by 300-330 yuan / ton; In Shandong and East China, solid sulfur will be increased by 20 yuan / ton and liquid sulfur by 130-150 yuan / ton. Domestic refineries have no inventory pressure for the time being, the downstream sulfuric acid market is rising, the demand for liquid sulfur is increasing, the superposition of port supply into the market is less, the port liquid sulfur price is supported, and the liquid sulfur price of regional refineries is rising sharply; In terms of downstream phosphate fertilizer, the demand for sulfur is acceptable, the refinery shipment is smooth, and the price of sulfur fixation increases slightly.

Aftermarket forecast: the aftermarket sulfur market is relatively strong, so we should pay more attention to the downstream follow-up.

Product Name: n-butanol

Latest price (February 7): 11633 yuan / ton

Key points of analysis: according to the data monitoring chart of business agency, on February 7, the domestic n-butanol market in Shandong rose sharply. The average ex factory price of n-butanol was 11633 yuan / ton. Compared with the previous working day, the average price was increased by 2000 yuan / ton, or 24.20%. On the 7th, on the first day after the Spring Festival, the domestic n-butanol market in Shandong rose sharply. During the festival, the international crude oil price continued to rise. The n-butanol industry had a good mentality, the sales pressure of n-butanol factories was small, and the quotation after the festival increased significantly. On the 7th, Wanhua chemical delivered n-butanol in North China with reference to 12000 yuan / ton.

Future forecast: at present, with the return after the festival, the trading atmosphere on the floor is normal and the mentality of the operators is positive. The n-butanol data division of the business society believes that in the short term, the domestic n-butanol market in Shandong is mainly high-level consolidation, and more attention needs to be paid to the basic changes in supply and demand.